Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: Farmers Insurance Open

Win probabilities: Farmers Insurance Open

2022 Farmers Insurance Open, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Jon Rahm (T1, -13, 39.9%) 2. Justin Thomas (T1, -13, 29.0%) 3. Cameron Tringale (4, -12, 8.3%) 4. Adam Schenk (T1, -13, 6.4%) 5. Luke List (T6, -9, 1.7%) 6. Sungjae Im (T12, -8, 1.5%) 7. Alex Smalley (T6, -9, 1.5%) 8. Si Woo Kim (T6, -9, 1.2%) 9. Peter Malnati (5, -11, 1.2%) 10. Jason Day (T6, -9, 1.1%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2 (South Course only): Putting: Bryson DeChambeau +4.3 Around the Green: C.T. Pan +3.2 Approach the Green: Christiaan Bezuidenhout +3.2 Off-the-tee: Seth Reeves +2.2 Total: Sungjae Im +7.2 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Farmers Insurance Open or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Ryan Fox
Type: Ryan Fox - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-175
Top 10 Finish-500
Top 20 Finish-5000
Final Round 2 Balls - W. Clark vs H. Springer
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Wyndham Clark-165
Hayden Springer+140
Matteo Manassero
Type: Matteo Manassero - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-110
Top 10 Finish-350
Top 20 Finish-2000
Kevin Yu
Type: Kevin Yu - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+105
Top 10 Finish-275
Top 20 Finish-1400
Matt McCarty
Type: Matt McCarty - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+110
Top 10 Finish-250
Top 20 Finish-1400
Lee Hodges
Type: Lee Hodges - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+115
Top 10 Finish-250
Top 20 Finish-1200
Mackenzie Hughes
Type: Mackenzie Hughes - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+160
Top 10 Finish-200
Top 20 Finish-900
Jake Knapp
Type: Jake Knapp - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+190
Top 10 Finish-150
Top 20 Finish-700
Andrew Putnam
Type: Andrew Putnam - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+225
Top 10 Finish-130
Top 20 Finish-700
Cameron Young
Type: Cameron Young - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+300
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-400
Byeong Hun An
Type: Byeong Hun An - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+300
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-400
Final Round 2 Balls - J. Lower vs T. Mawhinney
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Justin Lower-220
Tyler Mawhinney+185
Final Round 2 Balls - Car. Young vs S. Fisk
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Carson Young-110
Steven Fisk-110
Final Round 2 Balls - L. Griffin vs V. Whaley
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Vince Whaley-160
Lanto Griffin+135
Final Round 2 Balls - C. Phillips vs Z. Blair
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Chandler Phillips-125
Zac Blair+105
Final Round 2 Balls - B. Hossler vs P. Fishburn
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Beau Hossler-110
Patrick Fishburn-110
Final Round 2 Balls - D. Riley vs D. Wu
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Davis Riley-150
Dylan Wu+125
American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bjorn/Clarke-125
Stricker/Tiziani+450
Flesch/Goydos+1000
Els/Herron+1200
Alker/Langer+1800
Bransdon/Percy+2000
Green/Hensby+2500
Cabrera/Gonzalez+4000
Duval/Gogel+4000
Caron/Quigley+5000
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Final Round 2 Balls - R. MacIntyre vs C. Hoffman
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Robert MacIntyre-200
Charley Hoffman+165
Final Round 2 Balls - A. Schenk vs M. Hubbard
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Adam Schenk
Mark Hubbard
Final Round 2 Balls - M. McGreevy vs P. Peterson
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Max McGreevy
Paul Peterson
Final Round 2 Balls - E. Grillo vs H. Norlander
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Emiliano Grillo
Henrik Norlander
Final Round 2 Balls - N. Lashley vs N. Goodwin
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Nate Lashley
Noah Goodwin
ShopRite LPGA Classic
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Ayaka Furue+300
Mao Saigo+300
Jennifer Kupcho+550
Elizabeth Szokol+1000
Chisato Iwai+1200
Ilhee Lee+1400
Miyu Yamashita+1400
Rio Takeda+2000
Jeeno Thitikul+3000
Jin Hee Im+3000
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Final Round 2 Balls - R. Hojgaard vs R. Hisatsune
Type: Final Round 2 Balls - Status: OPEN
Rasmus Hojgaard
Ryo Hisatsune
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Rory McIlroy+1000
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Phil Mickelson trending in the right directionPhil Mickelson trending in the right direction

NAPA, Calif. – Phil Mickelson didn’t end his drought Sunday as he had hoped. But he likes the direction he’s heading – both with his golf game and the next tournament on his schedule. He hopes the confluence of those two things will lead to career win No. 43. Mickelson shot a 2-under 70 in the final round of the Safeway Open to finish at 12 under, three strokes behind winner Brendan Steele. His tie for third is his best result since The Open in 2016 when he finished second in a Sunday duel against Henrik Stenson, and continues his upward trend – his last 12 rounds on TOUR have been at par-or-better. He’ll now take two weeks off, then play the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in China. Having won twice at Sheshan Golf Club, Mickelson certainly has reason to hope for a third win. If it happens, it would end the 91-start drought since his last victory on TOUR, The Open in 2013. “I’m going to keep giving myself good chances, and it will happen,� Mickelson said. “I get on a course like Sheshan where I’m very comfortable. I know the greens. I know the course well. I think I’ll have a good week there.� He almost had a great week at Silverado. Mickelson posted 23 birdies – tying Chesson Hadley for most of any player this week – and entered the final round four shots off the lead. He had hoped to get off to a fast start and apply pressure on the leaders, including 54-hole leader Tyler Duncan. Sunday’s tough scoring conditions prevented anybody from going low, but Mickelson was still in the mix after his birdie at the par-5 16th. He figured if he could birdie the next two holes, he might have a shot to catch eventual champ Brendan Steele. But he missed the fairway on the par-4 17th to the left, leaving him with a difficult shot over a tall redwood that guards the left side of the green. His approach found the bunker, and he failed to save par. Missing fairways was the only troublesome element for Mickelson’s week – at least from a statistical perspective. He hit just 15 of 56 fairways – only 3 of 14 on Sunday – and that tied for 74th in the field. “He’s very close; he’s been playing really well,� Steele said. “I think the only thing that ever holds him back is just missing a few fairways here and there. If he hits a few more fairways, then he’s probably not far off at all.� But from Mickelson’s perspective, the missed fairways should not be considered cause for alarm. “This is a very skewed golf course to judge fairways hit,� Mickelson said. “I hit three beautiful drives on 18; none of them found the fairway. The fairway’s 13 yards wide. I paced it. “So on a normal TOUR course, I would have hit 10, 11 fairways today. I drove it fairly well. But out here, I think, is a way to kind of protect that, they move the fairways in so that they’re about half what they normally are.� Overall, Mickelson said he enjoyed the challenging conditions at Silverado. He also enjoyed the heat of a back-nine battle. “It was fun to be in the mix. It was fun to have a chance,� he said. He expects there will be many more. So does Steele. “I don’t see any reason why he can’t be competitive for a really long time,� the two-time Safeway Open champ said. “I’ve always said I think Phil can win at Augusta well into his mid- to late-50s. He just knows the course so well. He has such an excitement for getting there and has just the right game for it, so I don’t see him slowing down anytime soon.� But before Augusta, there is China in three weeks. Might be time to start winning again.

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