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Win probabilities: Butterfield Bermuda Championship

2022 Bermuda Championship, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Taylor Pendrith (1, -11, 27.5%) 2. Patrick Rodgers (2, -10, 17.5%) 3. Vincent Whaley (3, -9, 9.4%) 4. Danny Lee (T4, -8, 4.5%) 5. David Skinns (T4, -8, 3.7%) 6. Lucas Herbert (T6, -7, 3.5%) 7. Chad Ramey (T10, -6, 2.8%) 8. Alex Smalley (T10, -6, 2.4%) 9. Justin Lower (T6, -7, 2.4%) 10. Peter Malnati (T6, -7, 2.3%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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2nd Round 3 Ball - R. Henley / L. Aberg / S. Straka
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Russell Henley+165
Ludvig Aberg+170
Sepp Straka+190
2nd Round 3 Ball - V. Hovland / W. Clark / C. Morikawa
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Collin Morikawa+105
Viktor Hovland+190
Wyndham Clark+280
2nd Round Match-Ups - L. Aberg vs X. Schauffele
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Ludvig Aberg-110
Xander Schauffele-110
2nd Round Match-Ups - R. Henley vs V. Hovland
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Russell Henley-120
Viktor Hovland+100
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Furue / L. Ko / R. Zhang
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Lydia Ko+140
Ayaka Furue+145
Rose Zhang+275
2nd Round 3-Balls - L. Maguire / E. Henseleit / J. Kupcho
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Esther Henseleit+120
Jennifer Kupcho+160
Leona Maguire+300
2nd Round 3 Ball - H. Matsuyama / X. Schauffele / A. Bhatia
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Xander Schauffele+150
Hideki Matsuyama+170
Akshay Bhatia+210
2nd Round 3 Ball - T. Pendrith / T. Finau / M. Homa
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith+150
Tony Finau+165
Max Homa+225
2nd Round Match-Ups - H. Matsuyama vs D. Berger
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Hideki Matsuyama-120
Daniel Berger+100
2nd Round Match-Ups - T. Pendrith vs T. Finau
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith-110
Tony Finau-110
2nd Round 3 Ball - N. Dunlap / M. Pavon / S.W. Kim
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Si Woo Kim-140
Matthieu Pavon+230
Nick Dunlap+375
2nd Round 3 Ball - T. Detry / M. Fitzpatrick / C. Bezuidenhout
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Thomas Detry+145
Matt Fitzpatrick+175
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+210
2nd Round 3 Ball - B. Campbell / P. Rodgers / R. Gerard
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Ryan Gerard+160
Patrick Rodgers+180
Brian Campbell+185
2nd Round 3 Ball - G. Higgo / D. Berger / J. Bridgeman
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Daniel Berger+100
Jacob Bridgeman+210
Garrick Higgo+260
2nd Round 3 Ball - J. Highsmith / H. English / R. Hojgaard
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Harris English+165
Rasmus Hojgaard+170
Joe Highsmith+185
2nd Round 3 Ball - B. Griffin / L. Glover / S. Stevens
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Ben Griffin+150
Sam Stevens+165
Lucas Glover+225
2nd Round Match-Ups - R. Hojgaard vs H. English
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Harris English-110
Rasmus Hojgaard-110
2nd Round 3 Ball - B. Harman / P. Cantlay / T. Hoge
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Patrick Cantlay-110
Brian Harman+225
Tom Hoge+280
2nd Round 3 Ball - R. MacIntyre / D. Thompson / D. McCarthy
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Denny McCarthy+150
Davis Thompson+175
Robert MacIntyre+200
2nd Round Match-Ups - A. Novak vs D. Thompson
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Andrew Novak-110
Davis Thompson-110
2nd Round 3 Ball - C. Kirk / C. Conners / A. Hadwin
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners-110
Chris Kirk+220
Adam Hadwin+300
2nd Round 3 Ball - S. Theegala / C. Young / M. Greyserman
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Max Greyserman+170
Cameron Young+180
Sahith Theegala+180
2nd Round Match-Ups - S. Theegala vs C. Young
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Sahith Theegala-125
Cameron Young+105
2nd Round 3 Ball - S. Burns / B. Hun An / E. Cole
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns+150
Eric Cole+185
Byeong Hun An+190
2nd Round 3 Ball - S. Im / A. Scott / A. Noren
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Sungjae Im+130
Alex Noren+185
Adam Scott+225
2nd Round 3 Ball - A. Eckroat / A. Rai / W. Zalatoris
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Aaron Rai+135
Will Zalatoris+175
Austin Eckroat+220
2nd Round 3 Ball - J.T. Poston / C. Davis / S. Jaeger
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
J.T. Poston+130
Stephan Jaeger+170
Cam Davis+250
2nd Round Match-Ups - A. Rai vs S. Jaeger
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Aaron Rai-125
Stephan Jaeger+105
2nd Round Match-Ups - W. Zalatoris vs J.T. Poston
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
J.T. Poston-110
Will Zalatoris-110
2nd Round 3 Ball - A. Novak / R. Fowler / G. Woodland
Type: 2nd Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Andrew Novak+130
Rickie Fowler+175
Gary Woodland+240
2nd Round 3 Ball - N. Taylor / E. Van Rooyen / J.J. Spaun
Type: Erik Van Rooyen - Status: OPEN
J J Spaun+150
Erik Van Rooyen+185
Nick Taylor+190
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Smalley / D. Wu / D. Skinns
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alex Smalley+120
Dylan Wu+165
David Skinns+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Putnam / V. Perez / R. Fox
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ryan Fox+160
Andrew Putnam+175
Victor Perez+190
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Gotterup / T. Kim / A. Potgieter
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Chris Gotterup+135
Tom Kim+170
Aldrich Potgieter+230
2nd Round 3-Balls - S. Power / M. Hughes / F. Molinari
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Mackenzie Hughes+105
Seamus Power+130
Francesco Molinari+475
2nd Round 3-Balls - H.J. Choi / A. Yin / N. An
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Hye Jin Choi+145
Angel Yin+150
Narin An+250
2nd Round 3-Balls - B. Henderson / I. Lindblad / H. Ryu
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Haeran Ryu-115
Brooke Henderson+250
Ingrid Lindblad+260
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Guseva / M. Lee / C. Boutier
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Minjee Lee+125
Celine Boutier+150
Nataliya Guseva+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Korda / Y. Saso / J. Thitikul
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jeeno Thitikul-105
Nelly Korda+115
Yuka Saso+750
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+160
Bryson DeChambeau+350
Xander Schauffele+350
Ludvig Aberg+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Jon Rahm+450
Justin Thomas+550
Brooks Koepka+700
Viktor Hovland+700
Hideki Matsuyama+800
Click here for more...
PGA Championship 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+450
Scottie Scheffler+450
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Xander Schauffele+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Collin Morikawa+2200
Jon Rahm+2200
Joaquin Niemann+3000
Viktor Hovland+3500
Click here for more...
US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+500
Bryson DeChambeau+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Justin Thomas+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Click here for more...
The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+500
Scottie Scheffler+550
Xander Schauffele+1100
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
Click here for more...
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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