Comparing the drivers being played by team Champ-Finau

SILVIS, Ill. — Sebastian Munoz of Colombia had a 4-under 67 on Saturday for a one-shot lead going into the final round of the John Deere Classic that feels as though it’s just getting started. RELATED: Leaderboard | Bryson DeChambeau selects new caddie Rain overnight and more during the third round left the TPC John Deere soft and prone to low scoring, and just about everyone took advantage. Munoz overcame two early bogeys by keeping a clean card on the back nine. He took the lead with a tee shot into 6 feet on the par-3 16th hole and was at 16-under 197. He led by one shot over Brandon Hagy, who is still looking for his first PGA TOUR victory in his 93rd career start. Hagy also had a 67. Five players were two shots behind, a group that included Scott Brown, who had a 63 to match the low score of the round. Adam Long (64), Cameron Champ (64), Kevin Na (66) and Ryan Moore (68) joined him at 14-under 199. “The beauty of this place is it ain’t over until it’s legitimately over,” said Zach Johnson, a past Deere winner who had a 67. He was six shots behind. Ten players were within three shots of the lead, all of them knowing what it would take in the final round — birdies. Lots of them. “You’re going to have to be in attack mode here,” Brown said. “Typically, it’s at least 20-under par or a little more. For me, that’s another 7 under for tomorrow if you look at it that way.” Five of the last six winners of the John Deere Classic finished at 20 under or better, the exception being Bryson DeChambeau four years ago when he captured his first PGA TOUR title at a paltry 18 under. Luke List is among those within three shots of the lead despite his struggles. List began the weekend with a one-shot lead. He didn’t make a birdie until the 10th hole, and when he missed a 6-foot birdie attempt on the final hole, he had to settle for a 71. Even so, he still has a chance at his first PGA TOUR title. Of the 20 players within five shots of the lead, seven have never won on TOUR. Five of the seven players within two shots of Munoz are not yet eligible for the Open Championship next week a Royal St. George’s in England. The leading player from among the top five gets in the final major of the year. Munoz already is eligible, while Na has withdrawn because of international travel requirements. Ryder Cup captain Steve Stricker, a three-time winner at the John Deere Classic who chose to help celebrate the tournament’s 50th anniversary instead of defending his title in the U.S. Senior Open Championship, had a 68 and was seven shots behind. Stricker birdied his last three holes.

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DUBLIN, Ohio — Bryson DeChambeau made birdies on two of the toughest holes for a 6-under 66 to take a 1-shot lead into a final round at the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide that features Tiger Woods in contention at Muirfield Village for the first time in six years. Woods let another great round get away by missing short putts. He had to settle for a 68 and was five shots behind. He wasn’t alone. DeChambeau missed 3-foot birdie putts on the ninth and 15th holes. But he poured it on at the end to lead by one shot over Patrick Cantlay (66), Kyle Stanley and 19-year-old Joaquin Niemann of Chile, who played in the last group and each had 70. DeChambeau was at 14-under 202 on a soft course vulnerable to low scores.

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After what has been a remarkable comeback season, our model estimates Woods has a 23 percent chance of finally re-entering the winner’s circle on Sunday afternoon. Rose, who had the 2nd highest pre-tournament win probability, has slightly better odds at 27 percent. Of course there is more than one trophy at stake this week as the season-long race for the FedExCup comes to a close. Here are the top-10 FedExCup win probabilities heading into the weekend: Rose is the heavy favorite to win the FedExCup at 63 percent. He began the week in one of the coveted top 5 spots, meaning a win this week will secure the title. In addition, many of the other top contenders have struggled thus far which has boosted Rose’s win probability even more. Hope is not lost for the rest of the field, including co-leader Tiger Woods, who still has a 4.3 percent chance of becoming the FedExCup champion. Bryson Dechambeau, who began the week in pole position (and the best chance to win the FedExCup according to our model) is 6 over par and tied for 27th, leaving him with just a 2.4 percent chance of winning the season-long race. NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The TOUR Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page. At the halfway point of the TOUR Championship, Justin Rose and Tiger Woods find themselves two strokes clear of the field at 7 under par. Here are the top-10 win probabilities according to our model:

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