Cut prediction: The American Express

As the pre-eminent tour in the world, the PGA TOUR is continually evolving to better serve its players, fans, sponsors and media partners. That was illustrated again Wednesday at the TOUR Championship as PGA TOUR Commissioner Jay Monahan announced further enhancements to the TOUR and its schedule. Four key items highlighted Wednesday’s announcement, which built upon the innovations introduced earlier this year to bring the game’s top players together more often. Additional Elevated Events for 2023, and a commitment from top players to compete in at least 20 PGA TOUR events per year, were announced, as were an expansion to the Player Impact Program and guaranteed league-minimum earnings for full TOUR members. The addition of four Elevated Events brings the total to 12 for next season. Top players have made an unprecedented commitment to play all 12 events, in addition to the four majors and THE PLAYERS Championship, and add three PGA TOUR events of their choosing to their schedules, Commissioner Monahan announced. “Our top players are firmly behind the TOUR, helping us deliver an unmatched product to our fans, who will be all but guaranteed to see the best players competing against each other in 20 events or more throughout the season,” he said. The additional Elevated Events – which will join the Sentry Tournament of Champions, The Genesis Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Memorial Tournament presented by Workday, World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play and the three FedExCup Playoffs events (FedEx St. Jude Championship, BMW Championship and TOUR Championship) — will be announced in the coming weeks and have purses of at least $20 million. An expanded Player Impact Program and the introduction of the Earnings Assurance Program were also part of the announcement. Effective this year, the Player Impact Program will double to award $100 million to 20 players who resonate the most with fans and media. New metrics also will be implemented to better capture awareness from both casual and core fans. The Earnings Assurance Program replaces the previously-announced “Play15” program. All Korn Ferry Tour graduates and above in the TOUR’s priority ranking who compete in at least 15 events will earn no less than $500,000 per year, as the TOUR will fill the gap for players who fail to meet that benchmark. A travel stipend program also will be implemented for non-exempt members (players in the 126-150 category and below). Those players will receive $5,000 for travel and tournament-related expenses when they miss the cut. The stipends will not impact tournament purses. Other changes include added benefits for TOUR Championship qualifiers and enhancements to the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Beginning this year, qualifying for the TOUR Championship will bring a two-year exemption and qualify players for the following year’s Sentry Tournament of Champions. The Sentry will also award 550 FedExCup points to the winner, aligning it with the player-hosted invitationals (Genesis Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard and Memorial Tournament presented by Workday) and World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play. Finally, players will earn life membership immediately upon reaching 20 wins (eliminating the requirement for 15 years of membership). “Today is a culmination of a strengthened partnership between the TOUR and the players, and amongst the players themselves,” Commissioner Monahan said. “It’s unprecedented for our TOUR and a testament to who these guys are and what they believe in.” Here is a closer look at Wednesday’s announcements: 1. Top players will commit to at least a 20-event PGA TOUR schedule (assuming they qualify), which includes: A. 12 Elevated Events 1. FedExCup Playoffs A. FedEx St. Jude Championship – $20 million B. BMW Championship – $20 million C. TOUR Championship/FedExCup Bonus Pool – $75 million 2. The Genesis Invitational – $20 million 3. Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard – $20 million 4. the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday – $20 million 5. WGC-Dell Match Play Championship – $20 million 6. Sentry Tournament of Champions – $15 million 7. To be announced: four additional Elevated Events – purses of at least $20 million each B. THE PLAYERS Championship – $25 million C. The Masters Tournament, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship D. 3 Additional FedExCup events (of the player’s choosing) 2. For the 2022-23 season, a “top player” will be defined as: A. Players who finish in the top 20 under the current Player Impact Program AND players who finish in the top 20 under the revised PIP criteria 3. Expansion of the Player Impact Program A. Reward 20 players a total (up from 10) for 2022 and 2023 B. Total bonus pool of $100 million (previously announced as $50 million) in 2022 and 2023 C. For 2022, any player on the revised criteria list who is not on the current criteria list will receive a payout equal to 20th position (most likely two or three players) D. Players will receive their PIP bonus at the end of the season after competing in the 12 Elevated Events and three non-elevated events, as outlined above 4. Launch of “Earnings Assurance Program” A. For fully exempt members (Korn Ferry Tour category and above) B. Guaranteed league minimum of $500,000 per player (TOUR funds any gaps in earnings) C. Rookies and returning members will receive money up front D. Must participate in 15 events E. Replaces “Play15” Program 5. Travel Stipend Program A. For non-exempt members (126-150 category and below) B. Receive $5,000 for every missed cut C. Subsidizes travel and tournament-related expenses D. Does not impact tournament purses

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THE OVERVIEW CROMWELL, Conn. – Last week was about survival. This week at the Travelers Championship? “It’s guns blazing,� Patrick Reed said Wednesday. “Everyone is going to be firing at flags.� For those who spent the week – or maybe just a couple of rounds before an early exit – at the U.S. Open, an immediate visit to TPC River Highlands no doubt will be a welcomed relief, a chance to flex the scoring muscles. Having to give up the chase for birdies at Shinnecock Hills for most of the week, players can now return to regular PGA TOUR attack mode. Since 1994, every winner of the Travelers has finished double-digits under par, with three of those winners finishing at 20 under or better. During that same span, just three U.S. Open winners have reached double digits. Nine winners, in fact, have been at even par or worse. That includes last week’s champ Brooks Koepka, who won his second straight U.S. Open title by shooting 1 over (after finishing a record-tying 16 under the previous year at Erin Hills in a rare offensive U.S. Open explosion). “Sometimes having a tournament right after a major doesn’t help but having this tournament right after the tournament last week, I think it gets guys back into their normal routines,� said Rory McIlroy, making his second start at the Travelers. “They play a golf course which if you can make birdies, you can get on runs. That’s a nice thing.� Most U.S. Open courses are long – Shinnecock Hills was 7,440 yards and Erin Hills maxed out at 7,800. Meanwhile, TPC River Highlands measures just 6,841, giving players a chance to hit significantly shorter irons into pins. Throw in the drivable par-4 15th, and it’s a vastly different approach this week. But that also creates a different mindset. Knowing there are more scoring opportunities, players will feel the pressure of keeping up instead of just hanging on. Defending champ Jordan Spieth will be careful not to fall into the trap of always flooring the accelerated. “I understand you can shoot low scores,� Spieth said, “but over the course of four rounds, you’ve got to just wait and let the golf course give you what it does.� Added Justin Thomas: “It’s still golf. Whether it’s even par or 12 under or 25 under, you’re just trying to shoot as low as you can. It definitely is different, and a little less exhausting at the end of the day.� Plus, it’s just nice to look at some red numbers on the scorecards. Said McIlroy: “Obviously it makes you feel a bit better about yourself when you’re shooting some under-par scores.� THREE PLAYERS TO PONDER Brooks Koepka Becomes the first U.S. Open champ since Justin Rose in 2013 to play the following week immediately after winning. Jordan Spieth Turned around his season a year ago by winning at TPC River Highlands. Could use a similar boost this year. Bubba Watson Only four-time winner Billy Casper has won this event more than twice. Bubba could notch his third this week. THE FLYOVER Of the 50 closing holes last season, the 444-yard par-4 18th at TPC River Highlands ranked 19th in difficulty, playing to a stroke average of 4.107. Obviously, it can produce some drama – witness Jordan Spieth’s hole-out from the front greenside bunker to beat Daniel Berger in a playoff last year. And don’t forget the plaque as you walk back toward the clubhouse that celebrates Jim Furyk’s historic 58 two years ago. LANDING ZONE Say hello to one of the PGA TOUR’s shortest par 4s, the 296-yard 15th hole. Only the 288-yard 16th at Sheshan International is shorter. At this length, there’s not much decision on whether to go for the green – 95.3 percent of all tee shots at 15th qualified for the definition of going for it. Still, there is water to the left and bunkers to the right, and nearly as many double bogeys (7) were made last year as eagles (9). Here’s a look at where all tee shots landed last year at the 15th WEATHER CHECK From PGA TOUR meteorologist Wade Stettner: “There will be a chance of rain showers Thursday morning before 8 a.m. with just a slight chance of a passing shower or two Thursday afternoon. Thursday’s high is forecast in the middle 80s with winds switching back to the north at 6-12 mph. Dry weather is forecast on Friday with light south winds and a high in the upper 70s. A low pressure system will arrive this weekend with rain chances increasing on Saturday. There is a slight chance for a few passing showers lingering into Sunday.� For the latest weather news from Cromwell, Connecticut, check out PGATOUR.COM’s Weather Hub. SOUND CHECK There are tournaments on the PGA TOUR that could be great fits for me, and this is one of those. I just regret I hadn’t been playing here my entire PGA TOUR career. BY THE NUMBERS 63 – Opening round score by Jordan Spieth last year. That’s his lowest first-round score in 143 career starts. 0 – Numbers of weekend rounds that two-time champ Bubba Watson has shot over par (in other words … none). Of his 40 career rounds at the Travelers, 35 have been played at par or better. 4 – Players with multiple runner-up finishes this season without a win – Marc Leishman (2012 Travelers champ), Rickie Fowler, Tony Finau and Chez Reavie. SCATTERSHOTS A year ago in his first Travelers start, Rory McIlroy was experimenting with putters. “I think I turned up on Saturday morning with about 10,� he recalled. Eventually, he used three different putters over the four-round event. Don’t expect a repeat this year – thanks in part to his work with New Englander Brad Faxon. “My putting has been probably as good as it ever has in terms of strokes gained,� McIlroy said. (He currently ranks 55th after ranking 140th after last season). “I feel comfortable with that part of my game.� Doug Ghim and Nick Hardy are making their pro debuts this week, while Dylan Meyer is making his second start after finishing T-63 in his pro debut at last week’s U.S. Open. “It’s a cool tournament,� noted Justin Thomas. “This, along with the John Deere, I think both of them have great reputations of giving young guys an opportunity to start their career.� Two-time winner Bubba Watson is making his 12th career start at the Travelers. No one consistently plays TPC River Highlands better than Watson. He’s a cumulative 94 under since 2006, best in that span. He’s made 181 total birdies since 2008, most in that span. And his scoring average of 67.65 is second only to Paul Casey’s 67.25 (minimum 12 rounds).

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