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Who can and who cannot win the PGA Championship

A host of players have a chance to win the Wanamaker Trophy. There are some who need everything to go right. And there are some who, well, might just be happy to be on the property.

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Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Rory McIlroy+1000
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Andrew Landry’s putter heats up at John Deere ClassicAndrew Landry’s putter heats up at John Deere Classic

SILVIS, Ill. – Andrew Landry came into the John Deere Classic ranked 175th in Strokes Gained: Putting, a big reason why he was languishing at 170th in the FedExCup.  You wouldn’t know it through two rounds at TPC Deere Run, where Landry has shot 65-65 to get to 12 under and just one shot off the lead of Jhonattan Vegas. He has made just under 152 feet of putts through 36 holes, and is in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Putting. “One hundred percent,â€� Landry said, when asked if the flatstick has been the difference between this year and last, when he won the Valero Texas Open and finished 37th in the FedExCup. “I’ve been hitting the ball very, very well all year long,â€� he said. “I’m top 10 in driving accuracy right now, and that’s a good stat to be in. Like I said, the putter has just kind of been letting me down all year long, and it seems to be working pretty good the last two days.â€� Coming into the Deere, Landry had just two top-25 finishes and 12 made cuts in 21 starts. Related: Tee times | Vegas opens up lead with 62 | Projected FedExCup standings Playing in a threesome with Troy Merritt (69, MC) and Kyle Stanley (66, 8 under), and starting on the back nine, Landry birdied seven of his first 12 holes, including three straight to start the front nine. He ran into tree trouble right of the sixth fairway and made his only bogey. His tee-to-green stats were solid, as he hit 10 of 14 fairways and 14 of 18 greens in regulation, but that’s been his usual game. It was the short game that stood out. He needed just 27 putts Friday, and is six for seven in scrambling through the first two rounds.   Landry came into the Deere at 190th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.  “I’m hitting good chip shots, which has kind of been unusual for the last four or five weeks,â€� he said. “I haven’t really been chipping the ball that great. But I don’t know, just every week is a little bit different. It’s a funny game. Who knows what could happen?â€�

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Win probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude InvitationalWin probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, End of Round 2. Top 10 win probabilities: Matthew Fitzpatrick (1, -9, 17.6%) Patrick Cantlay (T2, -7, 16.2%) Jon Rahm (T2, -7, 15.6%) Billy Horschel (T2, -7, 6.9%) Justin Rose (T7, -5, 5.3%) Brooks Koepka (T7, -5, 4.9%) Rory McIlroy (T13, -4, 4.5%) Webb Simpson (T7, -5, 4.2%) Cameron Smith (T2, -7, 4.1%) Hideki Matsuyama (T13, -4, 2.9%) Top strokes-gained performances: Putting: Matthew Fitzpatrick +3.2 Around-the-green: Bubba Watson +2.2 Approach: Jim Furyk +3.6 Off-the-tee: Rory McIlroy +1.8 Total: Matthew Fitzpatrick +6.1 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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