Woods needs miracle to make it to East Lake

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2020 RBC Heritage, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: -0.85 strokes per round Morning wave: -1.31 Afternoon wave: -0.4 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 67 players at -2 or better (T45) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 2 under par: 26.8% 1 under par: 21.8% 3 under par: 21.2% Top 10 win probabilities: Webb Simpson (T3, -6, 16.2%) Bryson DeChambeau (T16, -4, 6.6%) Viktor Hovland (T3, -6, 5.5%) Ian Poulter (T1, -7, 5.3%) Matthew Fitzpatrick (T10, -5, 4.7%) Ryan Palmer (T3, -6, 3.1%) Tony Finau (T10, -5, 3.0%) Mark Hubbard (T1, -7, 2.9%) Brice Garnett (T3, -6, 2.7%) Sebastian Munoz (T3, -6, 2.5%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the RBC Heritage, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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PORTRUSH, Northern Ireland – Rory McIlroy’s return to Royal Portrush couldn’t have gotten off to a worse start. McIlroy hit his opening tee shot out-of-bounds and made an 8 on the first hole. That matched the highest single-hole score of his PGA TOUR career. It was just the fourth quad he’s made in more than 10,000 holes played on the PGA TOUR (he’s never made worse than a quadruple-bogey, either), and his second in a major. It couldn’t have come at a worse time. Anticipation has been high for The Open’s return to Northern Ireland after an absence that lasted nearly seven decades. And anticipation was high for McIlroy, who not only set the course record when he was 16 but was enjoying one of the best seasons of his career. McIlroy shot 61 at Royal Portrush when he was 16. On Thursday, he took his 61st stroke on the 15th hole. He also triple-bogeyed the final hole and signed for a 79. McIlroy had finished in the top 5 in his last four Open Championships, including a victory in 2014. He is third in the FedExCup after victories in this year’s PLAYERS and RBC Canadian Open. His hopes of lifting a second claret jug were all but dashed after his first hole of the championship, though. Royal Portrush has internal O.B. that closely hugs the left side of the first and 18th holes. McIlroy’s ball was playable, but the area left of those holes is marked as out-of-bounds because it is land that the club did not own at one time. It was O.B. for the 1951 Open at Portrush and has remained that way. The first hole also has white stakes running down its right side. “I hit the ball out of bounds right yesterday on the practice round,â€� he said. “That might have been in my head a little bit, not sort of wanting to leak it out to the right.â€� McIlroy also missed a tap-in on the 16th hole before driving his ball into a tough lie on the 18th and failing to extricate it with his first attempt. “I didn’t put it in the fairway enough to play,â€� he said. “I kept saying that in the press conference yesterday, you need to put the ball in the fairway here if you want to do well. I didn’t do that enough today to create enough scoring opportunities.â€�

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