Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting DraftKings preview: Wyndham Championship

DraftKings preview: Wyndham Championship

This week’s Wyndham Championship is the final event for players to jockey for points in advance of the FedExCup Playoffs. It’s also the final opportunity to accrue Wyndham Rewards Top 10 points — the regular-season cash bonus — although no one is catching Brooks Koepka after his win at the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Just another $2 million into Brooks’ bank account — rough life. After two consecutive weeks of stacked fields at The Open Championship and the WGC-FedEx St, Jude Invitational, you’d expect a severe drop-off in the quality of the field in Greensboro, North Carolina. While there is a clear dip in talent, it’s not as pronounced as years’ past. Jordan Spieth, Webb Simpson, Hideki Matsuyama, Billy Horschel, Paul Casey, Cam Smith, Matthew Wolff, Lucas Bjerregaard, Collin Morikawa, Alex Noren, Viktor Hovland, Doc Redman, Branden Grace, Joaquin Niemann, Chez Reavie, Dylan Fritelli, Charles Howell III, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Sungjae Im and defending champ Brandt Snedeker will be teeing off in North Carolina. There is a slew of players impacted by the FedExCup standings, but while you can project “needâ€� onto golfers in this situation when making your picks all you want, there’s no empirical evidence to support it makes a difference either way. It is a fun narrative, and maybe it works out; however, it’s all noise from a prognostication standpoint. For the course, Sedgefield CC is one of the few on the PGA TOUR that allows players of all skill sets to play their preferred game and have a chance to complete. A Donald Ross design (like Detroit Golf Club and East Lake), Sedgefield features eight par 4s measuring between 400 and 450 yards and a pair of par 5s reachable by the entire field (a cumulative 70 eagles on those two holes last year). Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green has been more than two times as impactful on the top-5 finishers (+1.1/per round) than Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (+0.46/per round) and Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green (+0.37/per round), although, driving accuracy has popped as an essential skill in winning over the years. While the GIR rate is above TOUR average, the fairways narrow around the 275-yard mark off the tee, and this has resulted in six of the past eight Wyndham Championship winners finishing in the top 15 of accuracy for the week they claimed victory. Patrick Reed in 2013 and Brandt Snedeker last year are the two outliers. If you’re searching for a course that correlates with Sedgefield, Harbour Town and the RBC Heritage leaderboard have had a substantial amount of crossover the past decade. Targets From The Range Patrick Reed ($9,700) The lack of fairways gained off the tee is somewhat problematic, but as noted above, Reed was one of two winners (along with Snedeker) to finish outside the top 15 in Driving Accuracy in the last eight years. Reed’s an excellent player out of the rough, and has been red-hot over the past few months. He rolls into Greensboro with top-12 results in three of his past four starts, no worse than T32 in his past six starts and gaining an average of more than four strokes on approach in that span. He hasn’t won since the 2018 Masters, so we officially are in a drought. But at a familiar venue, which has seen multiple repeat champions, Reed is a perfect spot to collect another novelty check. Viktor Hovland ($9,500) First, Matthew Wolff got his breakthrough. Then Collin Morikawa followed it with a victory at the Barracuda Championship. Seems like Hovland won’t be too far behind. He fits the accuracy mold, ranking 10th in the field in fairways gained over the past 50 rounds per www.fantasynational.com, and it’s not like the rest of his game is lagging behind. He’s gained off the tee box and through approach in every start as a pro, and he hasn’t finished worse than T16 in any of his past three starts. If his putter finally will cooperate, he’ll at least notch the first top 10 of his career. Maybe more. Kyle Stanley ($7,700) After finding himself in majors and WGCs over the past two seasons, Stanley is back just attempting to churn out quality results and cash paychecks on TOUR. And most of the season, it’s been a poor effort. However, since the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide, his ball-striking game has re-emerged. He’s strung together five straight cuts — with a pair of top-25 finishes — and is gaining off-the-tee and through approaches in every start. Per Fantasy National, Stanley is fourth in the field in fairways gained over the past 24 rounds, sixth in par 5s gained and eighth in approach. If he doesn’t putt himself out of contention, he’ll have a shot in a birdie-fest. Peter Malnati ($7,100) Making 13 of his past 14 cuts, Malnati has gained with his irons in six of past seven starts and has lost on the greens only once early February. While putting is a high-variance skill year-over-year, Malnati has been one of the few to sustain consistent roll over the years. Digging back into his course form, he has never missed the weekend at Sedgefield and was top 10 in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach a year ago, but a poor week off the tee capped his upside at a T24. However, this is the best he’s played entering the Wyndham in his career, sitting seventh in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green over the past 24 rounds and ranks out 24th in Par 4s 400-450 yards, 27th T2G, and 25th in proximity gained from 150-175 yards, where the plurality of iron shots come from this week. Read more daily fantasy analysis from Pat Mayo and others on the DraftKings Playbook. Writer’s profile: I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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Emergency 9: Fantasy advice for Waste Management Phoenix OpenEmergency 9: Fantasy advice for Waste Management Phoenix Open

Here are nine tidbits from the second round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open that gamers can use tomorrow, this weekend or down the road. Be looking for the Emergency 9 shortly after the close of play of each round of the tournament. PAIN OR GAIN These were the top five picked golfers in the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO: No. 1 on this list has withdrawn and No. 5 has missed the cut so the Fowler (T1)-Noren (T37)-Rahm (T8) supporters will be hoping that they can make up ground in the game with big finishes on the weekend. I’m interested to see if Noren gets a hot start early tomorrow and puts pressure on the leaders. Playing for the first time at Torrey Pines last week didn’t seem to bother him! Mea Culpa I couldn’t believe how many of you left Matsuyama out of the PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO. I owe you all an apology for fading the two-time defending champ! Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good and gamers who either forgot or fell asleep tasted that feeling this week. As for the rest of you who lined him up, it’s time to sub him out and make up some ground on the weekend. More proof that NOTHING is guaranteed or a sure-thing in fantasy golf! According to reports his wrist is the issue but it was also noted that his shoulder was being worked on this morning as well. Stay tuned. In-and-Out Berger With two top 10s in his last three visits, Floridian Daniel Berger isn’t going “animal-style” just yet but he’s off to an excellent start (68-65). I wouldn’t expect him to slow down as he’s pounding it tee-to-green and has made the second-most birdies after two rounds. His bogey-free 65 (-6) moved him into the top five. Say Chez! Former Arizona State Sun Devil Chez Reavie posted 65 (-6) in one of the final groups of the day and enters the weekend T3. It’s his best round on the new design and the first time in four tries he’ll play the weekend. His best finish is T41 and he’s missed six weekends in nine events at TPC Scottsdale over the years. Sometimes down really is up! Stalling Out? Scott Stallings also threw up 65 this afternoon and moved up over 20 spots into the top 10. His round on Friday tied his lowest since July when he posted 65 at the Barbasol Championship. He finished T3 that week but hasn’t enjoyed a check bigger than T39 in his last 11 events. Please note he hit all 18 greens today after hitting just 10 yesterday. Forks Up There’s nothing better when watching a big tournament than having Phil Mickelson in the action. Well, maybe except having him live on your fantasy roster! He checked in No. 8 on the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO so there are plenty of faithful followers out there. He rewarded them by firing 65 and moving 38 spots into the top 10 after opening with 70 yesterday. The former Arizona State Sun Devil will no doubt be the crowd favorite on the weekend but is looking for his first win on TOUR since the 2013 Open Championship. He’s carded 65 on SATURDAY the last two years and followed both of those rounds with 71 on Sunday. … Desert Fox Canadian Adam Hadwin has finished in the top six the last three years in at the CareerBuilder Challenge. The last two years he’s cashed T17 and T12 at TPC Scottsdale with never breaking par in the first round. This year he opened with 70 and followed it up with 65, his best round from 10 tries. Like Mickelson, he jumped up into the top 10 and his primed for the weekend. Subs Necessary Jordan Spieth missed the cut for the first time since May at the AT&T Byron Nelson. It is time for gamers to narrow down their starts on him to courses he LOVES, not likes, especially in limited use games. … Webb Simpson and Ryan Palmer also carried heavy action this week and rightfully so, but both are heading home early. … Brandon Harkins MC and breaks up a streak of eight in a row. … Just as I was laying the groundwork for the Harris English revival, he heads home early. … The streak is now three for Tony Finau in the MC department at this event. Sometimes you have to trust the numbers! Study Hall Alex Cejka withdrew with an illness prior to Round 2. … Lee Westwood made 11 birdies while posting 62 at the Maybank Malaysian Open. He’s not leading though. … Robert Garrigus almost pulled an “Andrew Magee” in Round 2 on the drivable par-4 No. 17 hole. His tee shot dinged the flag and stopped an inch from an albatross. Andrew Magee, at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, is the only player in the history of the TOUR to make a 1 on a par-4 hole. #TheMoreYouKnow.

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Glen Oaks Club wows PGA TOUR winner as players discover hidden gemGlen Oaks Club wows PGA TOUR winner as players discover hidden gem

His work was over for the week, but Scott Brown, like a lot of PGA TOUR pros, is always on the job. So, after having missed the cut at Bethpage Black in the first FedExCup Playoffs event last August, Brown wanted to get right back at it. Surrounded by a plethora of golf options out on Long Island, he hit balls at the Tam O’Shanter Club in Glen Head where the head professional, Mark Brown, presented an intriguing suggestion: Why not go look at the Glen Oaks Club in nearby Old Westbury? “So, I went over and played it, and I’m glad I did,� said Scott Brown. “It’s my kind of golf course.� The impetus to play Glen Oaks went deeper than practice, though. Scott Brown knew that THE NORTHERN TRUST would open the 2017 FedExCup Playoffs at Glen Oaks, a course that may be a mystery to PGA TOUR pros but certainly isn’t to many members of the Metropolitan section of the PGA of America. Mark Brown, for instance. A week before the FedExCup Playoffs at Bethpage Black, Glen Oaks hosted the 101st Met Open where the Tam O’Shanter head pro shot 69-69-68 for a 4-under 206 and four-stroke win. He was excited to point Scott Brown toward Glen Oaks, but Tim Shifflett isn’t surprised to hear that it came with advanced billing. “We call it the Augusta of the north,� Mark had said. “I know people say that, but I just don’t like that expression,� said Shifflett, the head professional at Glen Oaks since 2001. “It certainly wasn’t our intent when we renovated.� Mark Brown understands the pretentiousness to compare any golf course to the home of the Masters, “but, honestly, (Glen Oaks) is that pure, that perfectly conditioned.� What Mark Brown might not have known is that Scott Brown is a native of Augusta, Ga., and knows Augusta National well. He was in synch with Mark Brown’s assessment. “It’s a fabulous golf course, similar (in style) to Augusta National in that you have to play shots to certain quadrants of the greens,� said Scott Brown. “It’s not crazy tight (nor is Augusta National) and it’s fun to play. The greens are firm and you have a lot of options for shots around the greens.� Jason Caron, the head professional at the Mill River Club in Oyster Bay, has heard the “Augusta of the north� expression and said it fit. “Seriously, Glen Oaks is that good,� he said. Certainly, its history is that good, too, flavored in large part by its connection to the “Roaring ‘20s� when so many of America’s wealthiest families established sprawling estates on Long Island. Shifflett noted that the Glen Oaks Club started in 1924 on the Queens-Nassau border, built on land purchased from William K. Vanderbilt’s “Deepdale Estate� which curled around Lake Success. When reporters wrote of two-time PGA Champion Leo Diegel’s exploits in the 1920s, he was said to have been from Glen Oaks. As urban sprawl spread on Long Island in the ‘60s, the Glen Oaks Club gave way to the North Shore Towers. Club members bought land about 15 miles west and in 1971 re-opened Glen Oaks in Old Westbury as a 27-hole course designed by Joe Finger. Not that it wasn’t a good course — the routing was praised and the putting surfaces were splendid— but Shifflett used the word “unmemorable� to describe it. “It was not interesting. Every hole looked similar — trees left, bunkers right; trees right, bunkers left. Every green had a bunker left, a bunker right, a bunker to the rear,� said Shifflett. “It was all so redundant.� The hiring of superintendent Craig Currier – who had done brilliant work at Bethpage Black for both the 2002 and 2009 U.S. Opens and had also worked at Augusta National and Garden City GC – signaled a change of direction for Glen Oaks. With credit to a membership that trusted their vision, Shifflett and Currier were told to pick an architect who would oversee a renovation. After considering bigger names, they decided on Joel Weiman, senior designer with McDonald & Sons of Maryland, with whom Currier had worked on a Bethpage project. Together, they went to work . . . and work . . . and work. “It was more work than I ever envisioned. But once we started, there was no stopping,� laughed Currier. “It’s like when you start tearing your kitchen apart.� The overall goal, said Shifflett, was for “green grass, white sand and mulch around the trees – three distinct looks.� Hurricanes of 2011 (Irene) and 2012 (Sandy) contributed to the aesthetics all three wanted by clearing several swaths of trees. Mostly, though, it was the collaborative efforts of Weimer, Currier and Shifflett that produced sweeping vistas and such a clean, fresh look. Scott Brown, who played Glen Oaks with firm and fast conditions, gave it thumbs up. He loved the sprawling piece of property with wide and tightly-mown fairways that run into sharp-edged bunkers, shaved areas around the greens, and putting surfaces which can offer speeds that will command your respect. If similar conditions exist August 24-27 for THE NORTHERN TRUST, Scott Brown suggested his brethren will be tested. But Mark Brown, who was the only competitor to break par at last year’s Met Open, said Mother Nature will be in charge. “If it does get soft,� he said, “I could see the guys eating it up. It’s not terribly long (using Nos. 1-3 and 6-9 from the White Course, 4-5 from the Red Course, and all nine of the Blue Course, Glen Oaks will offer a composite layout of approximately 7,300 yards) and these guys usually figure things out quickly.� Currier, after two U.S. Opens at Bethpage, knows the landscape. If he could dial it up, “I’d wish for a good, dry week with a little wind,� and he’s confident that “from tee-to-green (the players) will love it.� The firmness of the greens and their speeds will likely decide the overall scores, but for Currier there is a bigger picture. The Met Section has a long line of world-class golf courses and the Glen Oaks Club — with a distinctive look that is its own — is getting mentioned in the conversation. “They’re talking about our golf course,� said Currier. “That’s kind of cool to see.�

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Confidence Factor: Fantasy golf advice for The RSM ClassicConfidence Factor: Fantasy golf advice for The RSM Classic

The golden road to the TOUR Championship ends the 2018 portion of the 2018-19 season schedule on the Golden Isles of Georgia this week at The RSM Classic at Sea Island Resort on St. Simons Island. Resort life is the calling again this week as the first full-field event of the season will have 156 players trying to capture the eighth trophy of the new season. This is last call before the holidays and the final attempt to book a place at the Sentry Tournament of Champions on Maui to kick off the new calendar year in early January. The Seaside course will serve as host on the weekend, but everyone will get one chance at Plantation before the field is paired down to the top 70 and ties after Round 2. Austin Cook picked up his first win on TOUR at this event last year and is back to defend his title. The Seaside course has had a hand in all previous eight Classics but it was joined by the 18 holes of Plantation for the 2016 edition. This allowed the field to expand to the maximum of 156 and give the Web.com graduates another crack before the reshuffle after this week. The Seaside track is, relatively speaking, the more difficult of the two while Plantation checks in as one of the least-difficult challenges annually on TOUR. The winning total averages 20-under-par since Plantation was added so there’s no mystery in what will be required AGAIN this week. The lowest of the low will rack up $1.152 million of the $6.4 million prize pool, collect 500 FedExCup points and will book the final place in the field (if not already qualified) at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. TALE OF THE TAPE Last year Cook used just his 14th TOUR start to claim a comfortable four-shot victory in his first attempt at The RSM Classic. That sounds impressive but 2017 champion Mackenzie Hughes won a five-man playoff in just his ninth start in the big leagues! Cook ended up blistering Seaside the first time he saw it to the tune of 62 to tie the 36-hole record. He went one better in Round 3 as he established the new 54-hole mark on 18-under plus matching the largest lead (three shots) after three rounds. The former Monday qualifier du jour for gamers stuck a cherry on top as he cruised home to win by four shots in a blustery final round. He missed tying Kevin Kisner’s tournament record by a shot but his 23 birdies against just two bogeys provided a comfortable maiden victory. Look at those splits above! Hughes needed a playoff plus a Monday finish to vanquish his FOUR opponents who joined him on 17-under after 72 holes. Daylight, not the weather, caused the chilly Monday morning to determine a winner and the Canadian didn’t seem too bothered by the conditions. The first round he played on the Seaside course he popped it for 61 to lead after 18 holes, stressing that previous experience here is a bonus rather than a requirement. As the wind barely blew thru Round 2, 37 bogey-free rounds were accumulated and the cut came in at a whopping 5-under-par. Hughes, and the addition of the breeze, made the proceedings interesting in Round 3 as he took a triple that allowed the field to hang around. Only Henrik Norlander from that group of four returns this year for another crack at the title. The 2016 edition introduced the Plantation course (36 holes) and thereby a full-field event as 156 players would be able to complete play before sunset. South Carolina native Kisner wasted no time blasting the Par-72 Plantation course for 65, a “record” that still stands today. It’s not official because Rounds 1 and 2 both used lift, clean and replace due to wet conditions. The wind blew the first two days but the cut was still 140 (-2) so this isn’t the week to scratch out multiple pars. The gusting winds continued throughout the weekend but Kisner wasn’t fazed. He closed 64-64 to romp to a six-shot victory and picked up his first TOUR victory. He circled 22 birdies and one eagle against only two bogeys as his margin of victory remains the largest in tournament history. NOTE: Golfers inside the top 30-ish in each category last season. * – Finished inside the top 10 since 2010. Scrambling Rank  Golfer  1  *Webb Simpson  5  *Brian Gay  7  *Jim Furyk 13 *Alex Cejka 16 Seamus Power 18 *Chris Kirk 20 Joel Dahmen 23 *Ben Crane 30 *Zach Johnson 32 *Austin Cook 33 *Charles Howell III Par-4 Scoring Rank  Golfer  4  *Webb Simpson 10 *Kevin Streelman 10 *Zach Johnson 15 Joel Dahmen 15 *Chris Kirk 15 Hunter Mahan 27 Aaron Wise 27 *Stewart Cink 27 *C.T. Pan 27 *J.J. Spaun Greens in Regulation Rank  Golfer  2  Sam Ryder  5  *Kevin Streelman  6  *C.T. Pan 16 J.J. Henry 22 Corey Conners 23 *Michael Thompson 27 Tyler Duncan 27 *Charles Howell III 34 *J.J. Spaun 35 Keith Mitchell Birdie-or-Better Percentage Rank  Golfer  8  Ricky Barnes 12 Ollie Schniederjans 13 Brandon Harkins 16 Sam Saunders 22 *Brian Gay 24 Aaron Wise 25 *Rickie Fowler 26 *Tom Hoge 27 Peter Malnati 30 Chesson Hadley Seaside will host three of the four rounds but barely cracks 7,000 yards at 7,005 (Par-70) so the bombers won’t have much of an advantage this week. The wind is always in play here and that’s why the fairways and greens have some girth to them. The Tifdwarf Bermuda greens are the third different putting surface in three weeks but birdies will fly in here just like they did in Las Vegas (Bentgrass) and Mayakoba (Paspalum) as the speeds won’t be anything out of the ordinary. The rough isn’t a factor so scrambling will be required and so will a hot putter. The bunkers and rough off the tee and into the greens will be reserved for the exceptions, not the rules, this week. Seaside resides in the top half of easiest courses on TOUR annually. Plantation has the same grasses and green speeds but adds a pair of Par-5 holes on its 6,907-yard layout. It has ranked inside the top-10 easiest courses on TOUR in the three events it has been used for The RSM Classic. The one chance players will get should see them take advantage of their loop. As we’ve seen at TPC Summerlin and El Camaleon, when scoring is the key, the field opens up greatly. The lack of length on these two tracks won’t decrease that openness this week, either! The cut has been under-par in every event that has required one this fall and that shouldn’t change this week. The last three editions at Sea Island Resort have seen 2-under or BETTER chop the field at the halfway point. Par is about as useful as a belt after Thanksgiving dinner so imagine what bogeys or worse will do to a scorecard! The wind blows on these seaside courses but the scoring the last three years suggests it does not have any major influence on the outcome over the four rounds. Odds and Ends • In the previous eight editions, five winners have picked up their first TOUR victory. • Of the previous four winners, all secured their first TOUR victory. • Five winners had never played the event previously including three of the last four. • There has never been a repeat champion or a multiple winner. • The course record 60 at Seaside was posted by Tommy Gainey in the final round of his victory in 2012. • No current resident has ever finished on top. Rob Bolton’s Power Rankings has added course details and historical values. It’s also who I trust with the weather each week so pay attention!  NOTE: The groups below are comprehensive to assist in data mining. Inclusion doesn’t imply automatic endorsement in every fantasy game as all decisions are specific to your situation. These results range from 2010 thru last season.  

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