2019 Valspar Championship, Round 1. Overall scoring average: +1.14 strokes per round Morning wave: +0.49 Afternoon wave: +1.79 Current cutline: 79 players at 1 over par or better (T65th position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines: 2 over par: 28.7% 1 over par: 22.9% 3 over par: 22.2% Top 10 win probabilities: Dustin Johnson (T11, -2, 16.1%) Keegan Bradley (T6, -3, 6.3%) Joel Dahmen (T1, -5, 5.9%) Russell Knox (T3, -4, 5.6%) Kevin Kisner (T3, -4, 5.4%) Jon Rahm (T46, E, 4.2%) Jason Kokrak (T11, -2, 3.4%) Bubba Watson (T11, -2, 3.3%) Paul Casey (T29, -1, 2.9%) Tyrrell Hatton (T11, -2, 2.7%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 15K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of THE PLAYERS Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
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