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The Chosen One at THE PLAYERS Championship

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. — You claim you expected the Webb Simpson dominance last season. And you totally saw Jason Day overcoming a poor record on TPC Sawgrass a few years earlier.  You even saw the likes of Si Woo Kim and Craig Perks coming from the clouds.  Yeah … right. One of the many reasons THE PLAYERS Championship is such an amazing event is that it doesn’t necessarily give a particular type of player an advantage.  That makes it wildly unpredictable and great theatre.  You need to be on in every facet of the game. Bomb and gouge efforts do not always work at TPC Sawgrass.  But never fear. If you are looking for a great tip on the winner, we have it all worked out for you.  Forget our usually impeccable Power Rankings. The only way to find out who will get their hands on the sensational new PLAYERS Championship trophy is to eliminate those who history says cannot win.  This elite field of 144 players can be whittled down to just one using data from the 45 previous winners and a variety of categories that are essentially designed to give you a can’t miss prospect. Okay, it might be a little subjective. And a fair bit random. And perhaps not perfect. But then again … it might just be pure genius.  1. Winning twice at TPC Sawgrass? Not likely any more. While five players have won twice at the iconic venue only Tiger Woods has done so inside the last 25 years. So recent champions are out. Eliminated: Webb Simpson, Si Woo Kim, Jason Day, Rickie Fowler, Martin Kaymer, Tiger Woods, Matt Kuchar, Henrik Stenson, Sergio Garcia, Phil Mickelson, Adam Scott. 2. Just three players (Jack Nicklaus in the inaugural event in 1974, Hal Sutton in 2000 and Craig Perks in 2002) have won in their first start at THE PLAYERS, so rule out all first-timers. Eliminated: Abraham Ancer, Lucas Bjerregaard, Bronson Burgoon, Cameron Champ, Joel Dahmen, Tyler Duncan, Sungjae Im, Adam Long, Denny McCarthy, Eddie Pepperell, J.T. Poston, Seamus Power, Andrew Putnam, Sam Ryder, Sam Saunders, Martin Trainer, Peter Uihlein, Matt Wallace, Aaron Wise, Wyndham Clark. 3. Scotsman Sandy Lyle (1987) is the only player from Great Britain and/or Ireland to win THE PLAYERS. Clearly a curse exists.  Eliminated: Paul Casey, Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton, Russell Knox, Martin Laird, Rory McIlroy, Ian Poulter, Justin Rose, Shane Lowry, Danny Willett, Matthew Fitzpatrick. 4. Just one of the last 15 champions (Si Woo Kim) at THE PLAYERS came into the event with a negative mark in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green on the season. This wipes out a healthy chunk. Eliminated: Brian Harman, Ollie Schniederjans, Brian Gay, Jason Dufner, Grayson Murray, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Stewart Cink, Dominic Bozzelli, Anirban Lahiri, Alex Noren, Scott Langley, Brice Garnett, Kyle Stanley, Daniel Berger, Beau Hossler, Satoshi Kodaira, Ryan Armour, Rory Sabbatini, Harris English, Michael Kim, C.T. Pan, Nick Taylor, Scott Brown, Troy Merritt, Brandt Snedeker, Andrew Landry, Ryan Blaum, Richy Werenski, Adam Hadwin, Charley Hoffman, Alex Cejka, Brendan Steele, Patrick Reed, Billy Horschel, Jimmy Walker, Aaron Baddeley, Ted Potter Jr., Kevin Streelman. 5. THE PLAYERS hasn’t historically been kind to the old-timers. Just six of 45 winners were in their 40s. Unlikely to get a veteran reclaim past glories here.  Eliminated: Jim Furyk, Zach Johnson, Ryan Palmer, Scott Piercy, Vijay Singh, Vaughn Taylor, Bubba Watson. 6. Just two winners (Craig Perks and Tim Clark in 2010) have made THE PLAYERS their first TOUR win. So rule out all players who are still seeking their first TOUR wins. Eliminated: Byeong An, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Bud Cauley, Corey Conners, Talor Gooch, Brandon Harkins, Tom Hoge, Sung Kang, Jason Kokrak, Kelly Kraft, Haotong Li, Luke List, Trey Mullinax, Thorbjorn Olesen, Patrick Rodgers, J.J. Spaun, Harold Varner III 7. Prior form at TPC Sawgrass counts. 21 of the last 27 champions had at least one top-15 finish at THE PLAYERS before they went on to win the event. This includes 12 of the last 14 winners.  Eliminated: Patrick Cantlay, Austin Cook, Bryson DeChambeau, Tony Finau, Branden Grace, Russell Henley, Charles Howell III, John Huh, Patton Kizzire, Keith Mitchell, Ryan Moore, Jon Rahm, Chez Reavie, Cameron Smith, Scott Stallings, Brian Stuard, Michael Thompson, Kevin Tway. 8. Four of the last six winners of THE PLAYERS had previously won a major. That trend looks to continue.  Eliminated: Emiliano Grillo, Chesson Hadley, J.B. Holmes, Chris Kirk, Kevin Kisner, Danny Lee, Marc Leishman, Hideki Matsuyama, Kevin Na, Xander Schauffele, Jhonattan Vegas, Nick Watney, Gary Woodland.  9. Each of the last 16 PLAYERS winners entered that week’s tournament ranked among the top 75 golfers in the world. Not since 2002, when Craig Perks won THE PLAYERS as the world’s 256th-ranked golfer, has someone outside the top 75 won at TPC Sawgrass. Eliminated: Charl Schwatzel 10. Of the last 25 PLAYERS champions, only three of them ranked outside the top 100 on TOUR in scoring average leading into the event.  Eliminated: Jordan Spieth 11. Amazingly, 13 of the last 15 winners had felt the sting of TPC Sawgrass prior to their win, posting a round of 76 or higher. It helps to have felt that pain. (Five of them had scores above 80!) Eliminated: Justin Thomas 12. While our resident fantasy guru Rob Bolton’s Power Rankings are usually eerily accurate, his strike rate at THE PLAYERS is not as good. Since starting in 2010 only three of the nine winners were inside his top 10 leading into the tournament. Sorry Rob, we don’t trust you this week! Eliminated: Lucas Glover 13. Just three winners have won the previous week before THE PLAYERS, so rule out last Sunday’s Arnold Palmer Invitational Presented by Mastercard champion.  Eliminated: Francesco Molinari 14. Seven of the last eight PLAYERS Champions had a season prior to winning where they won at least $4.5 million.  Eliminated: Keegan Bradley, Louis Oosthuizen 15. Just four times out of 32 since the introduction of the official world rankings has the man at No.1 won THE PLAYERS. Two of those times was by Tiger Woods. That’s just a 12.5percent strike rate. Eliminated: Dustin Johnson That leaves us with just one player left. The chosen one. The player who avoids all 15 of our carefully researched categories. As such we can anoint him now. The 2019 PLAYERS Champion just happens to be a guy who is the current PGA TOUR Player of the Year. A guy who won two majors last year. A guy who shot the course record at TPC Sawgrass last year… Brooks Koepka.

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1st Round 3 Ball - N. Norgaard / G. Sargent / J. Keefer
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Niklas Norgaard+125
Gordon Sargent+500
1st Round 3 Ball - P. Peterson / P. Knowles / H. Thomson
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Hunter Thomson+160
Paul Peterson+160
Philip Knowles+200
1st Round 3 Ball - A. Rozner / V. Covello / W. Wei-Hsuan
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Antoine Rozner-170
Wei-Hsuan Wang+320
Vince Covello+330
1st Round 3 Ball - N. Goodwin / Y. Cao / B. Botha
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Noah Goodwin+115
Barend Botha+185
Yi Cao+250
1st Round 3 Ball - T. Kanaya / T. Cone / AJ Ewart
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Takumi Kanaya+105
Trevor Cone+225
AJ Ewart+230
1st Round Match-Ups - E. Cole v M. Schmid
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Eric Cole-115
Matti Schmid-105
1st Round 3 Ball - K. Kisner / E. Cole / D. Lipsky
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Eric Cole-135
David Lipsky+230
Kevin Kisner+350
1st Round 3 Ball - A. Baddeley / H. Higgs / M. Schmid
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Matti Schmid-115
Harry Higgs+175
Aaron Baddeley+400
1st Round Six Shooter - A. Noren / C. Conners / R. MacIntyre / R. Fox / S. Lowry / T. Olesen
Type: 1st Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners +320
Shane Lowry+350
Robert MacIntyre+375
Ryan Fox+500
Alex Noren+550
Thorbjorn Olesen+550
1st Round Six Shooter - C. Gotterup / Cam. Young / J. Rose / M. Wallace / R. Hojgaard / W. Clark
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Cameron Young+400
Rasmus Hojgaard +400
Wyndham Clark+400
Chris Gotterup+425
Justin Rose+450
Matt Wallace+450
1st Round Match-Ups - Cam. Young vs R. Hojgaard
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Cameron Young-110
Rasmus Hojgaard-110
1st Round Match-Ups - A. Noren vs S. Lowry
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Shane Lowry-155
Alex Noren+130
1st Round 3 Ball - C. Champ / A. Noren / R. Hojgaard
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Alex Noren+130
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Cameron Champ+300
1st Round 3 Ball - C. Hoffman / D. Willett / D. Walker
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Danny Walker+150
Charley Hoffman+160
Danny Willett+220
1st Round Match-Ups - C. Conners vs T. Olesen
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Thorbjorn Olesen+125
1st Round 3 Ball - V. Whaley / W. Gordon / B. Kohles
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Ben Kohles+225
1st Round 3 Ball - L. Griffin / R. Palmer / T. Olesen
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Thorbjorn Olesen-130
Lanto Griffin+210
Ryan Palmer+375
1st Round Match-Ups - R. MacIntyre vs R. Fox
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Robert MacIntyre-150
Ryan Fox+125
Tournament Match-Ups - M. Wallace vs R. Fox
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Matt Wallace+100
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Ryan Fox-115
Justin Rose-105
1st Round 3 Ball - R. Fox / T. Kim / C. Young
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Ryan Fox+160
Cameron Young+165
Tom Kim+200
1st Round 3 Ball - N. Dunlap / B. Snedeker / A. Schenk
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Adam Schenk+170
Nick Dunlap+185
1st Round Match-Ups - M. Wallace vs W. Clark
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1st Round Match-Ups - C. Gotterup vs J. Rose
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1st Round Match-Ups - A. Hadwin / J. Knapp
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1st Round 3 Ball - W. Clark / J. Rose / A. Hadwin
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Wyndham Clark+150
Justin Rose+160
Adam Hadwin+220
1st Round 3 Ball - B. Garnett / J. Knapp / L. List
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Jake Knapp+120
Brice Garnett+210
Luke List+210
Tournament Match-Ups - C. Conners vs S. Lowry
Type: Tournament Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners-120
Shane Lowry-110
1st Round 3 Ball - R. MacIntyre / S. Lowry / C. Conners
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Corey Conners+160
Shane Lowry+170
Robert MacIntyre+190
1st Round 3 Ball - C. Gotterup / E. Van Rooyen / M. Wallace
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Chris Gotterup+170
Matt Wallace+175
Erik Van Rooyen+180
1st Round Match-Ups - S. Power v R. Hisatsune
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Ryo Hisatsune-135
Seamus Power+115
1st Round 3 Ball - R. Campos / P. Malnati / S. Power
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
Seamus Power-110
Rafael Campos+240
Peter Malnati+260
1st Round 3 Ball - K. Vilips / M. McCarty / K. Yu
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN
Kevin Yu+160
Matt McCarty+170
Karl Vilips+190
1st Round Match-Ups - P. Fishburn v J. Svensson
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Jesper Svensson-125
Patrick Fishburn+105
1st Round 3 Ball - T. Mullinax / J. Bramlett / R. Hisatsune
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Ryo Hisatsune+130
Joseph Bramlett+200
Trey Mullinax+210
1st Round 3 Ball - P. Fishburn / C. Phillips / D. Skinns
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Chandler Phillips+145
Patrick Fishburn+150
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Steven Fisk+105
Alejandro Tosti+130
David Hearn+475
1st Round 3 Ball - F. Capan / C. Del Solar / T. Mawhinney
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Frankie Capan III+130
Cristobal Del Solar+160
Tyler Mawhinney+275
1st Round 3 Ball - T. Montgomery / M. Riedel / J. Matthews
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Taylor Montgomery+110
Matthew Riedel+180
Justin Matthews+275
1st Round 3 Ball - K. Roy / J. Svensson / R. Lee
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Jesper Svensson+125
Kevin Roy+185
Richard T Lee+230
1st Round 3 Ball - W. Mouw / J. Pak / D. Ford
Type: 1st Round 3 Ball - Status: OPEN
David Ford+150
William Mouw+175
John Pak+200
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Nelly Korda+550
Jeeno Thitikul+700
Jin Young Ko+1100
Rio Takeda+1200
Miyu Yamashita+1400
Ayaka Furue+1600
Chisato Iwai+1600
Mao Saigo+1600
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Alker/Langer+550
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Allan/Chalmers+1600
Green/Hensby+1800
Wi/Yang+1800
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Bryson DeChambeau+450
Jon Rahm+550
Joaquin Niemann+700
Tyrrell Hatton+1200
Patrick Reed+1800
Carlos Ortiz+2200
Lucas Herbert+2200
Cameron Smith+2500
David Puig+2500
Sergio Garcia+2500
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Talor Gooch+350
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1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Tom McKibbin+400
Bubba Watson+425
Charl Schwartzel+425
Thomas Pieters+425
Harold Varner III+450
Louis Oosthuizen+450
Bryson DeChambeau
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Top 5 Finish-135
Top 10 Finish-350
Top 20 Finish-1200
Jon Rahm
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Top 5 Finish-115
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Top 5 Finish+310
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Top 5 Finish+310
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Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
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Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
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Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
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Xander Schauffele+2000
Collin Morikawa+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Brooks Koepka+4000
Hideki Matsuyama+4000
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The Open 2025
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Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
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How Scottie Scheffler and Sam Burns propelled each other to PGA TOUR successHow Scottie Scheffler and Sam Burns propelled each other to PGA TOUR success

GERMANTOWN, Tenn. – Scottie Scheffler added a green jacket to his wardrobe this year, but he’s wearing something slightly more casual on this Wednesday evening. A Dunder-Mifflin Paper Co. T-shirt and sweatpants cover the thick, 6-foot-3 frame of this former high-school basketball player as he sprawls out on a couch in a rented home in the Memphis suburbs, recovering after a long day in the summer heat at the end of a long year. Sam Burns and his wife, Caroline, walk in the front door carrying plastic bags filled with the barbecue that this area is famous for, and soon the dining room table is obscured by enough red meat to give a cardiologist chest pains. The next day, Scottie and Sam will tee off in the headlining group of the FedEx St. Jude Championship, but tonight they feast. Scheffler and his wife, Meredith, sit at the table alongside the Burnses and Brad Payne, the president of College Golf Fellowship and one of the leaders of the TOUR’s Bible study. Plates are filled with brisket, ribs and macaroni and cheese. Sarcastic barbs are exchanged, existential matters discussed. The conversation shifts at whiplash speed between the mundane and the profound. The scene feels exceedingly normal considering two of the participants are among the best golfers in the world. Professional golfers, they’re just like us. The desire for normalcy is a fundamental part of the relationship between Scottie and Sam, one that’s been mentioned on television broadcasts and in articles throughout the year as the two 26-year-olds have continued to win – seven tournaments combined and counting this season. It’s easy to forget that the two friends, promising prospects since their amateur days, began this season with one TOUR title between them. So much has happened, so fast. Burns has cracked the top 10 in the Official World Golf Ranking for the first time and Scheffler reached No. 1. They were the top two players in the FedExCup for much of the season, as well. “When we get home every night, we are with our wives doing the exact same thing we did a year ago,” says Scottie. “If we are 100th in the FedExCup next year, it’s going to be the same. I harp on that a lot; we don’t want our lives to change a lot off the course. (Staying with the Burnses) is such an easy reminder. If my head actually gets too big, he will be the first to say, ‘You’re being a real jackwagon.’” To which Sam quickly replies, “I would love to.” His smile shows the pleasure he would take in putting the Masters champion in his place. Both couples enjoy a simple existence, even as they’ve earned millions of dollars. Scottie famously drives a decade-old SUV and the Burnses still live in the small Louisiana town of Choudrant, which had less than 1,000 residents and no Chipotles as of 2020. Scottie and Sam have known each other since they were teenagers, but their bond has deepened on TOUR, as has their faith, which they credit as the foundation of their friendship, even more than college football or their shared vocation. The couples have shared rental houses at most TOUR stops this year. They’ve vacationed in Europe together and competed in everything from board games to a spot on a Ryder Cup team and a PGA TOUR trophy. They want to win but also to encourage each other, embodying the famous proverb that says, “As iron sharpens iron, so one person sharpens another.” They share tips on course strategy and putting drills, but also support each other on those weeks when the center of the clubface feels the size of a pinhead and trade counsel on how to live out their faith and love their wives well. “It has everything to do with who they are in Christ,” says Payne, who’s also their occasional housemate. “Because of that, there’s an elevated sense of security and depth of friendship. They’re not just friends. They’re family. “When you know, ‘I’m not alone,’ there’s a rest and a peace there.” Or, as Scottie says, “We know it’s OK to not be OK.” That’s why he could say after his Masters win that he “cried like a baby” before the final round, a rare admission for a new major champion. It was the most memorable moment from his victory, more than the crucial chip-in on the third hole or the shocking, but inconsequential, four-putt on the final green. The adversity faced by professional golfers pales in comparison to what others may overcome, but there are universal struggles shared across stations. A missed cut is still frustrating, and a stretch of several in a row can send the mind spiraling. Tough times can feel interminable. Isolation can make it worse. That’s why a trusted friendship is invaluable in the lonely world of an individual sport. C.S. Lewis wrote, “Friendship is born at that moment when one person says to another, ‘What! You too? I thought I was the only one.’” When Burns went nearly two months between made cuts at the start of the year, Scheffler reminded him that he’d gone through the same thing a year earlier. “When I tell Scottie, ‘Hey, I feel deflated and golf feels impossible,’ he’s most likely felt that exact same thing,” Sam says. They try to be transparent and open with each other, speaking honestly about their fears and struggles instead of blaming poor play on bad breaks or missed puts. Sometimes, simply observing how other navigates their new status in the golf world is enough. Scottie likens it to growing up at Dallas’ Royal Oaks Country Club, where he learned by watching TOUR players like Justin Leonard, Ryan Palmer and Colt Knost. Just as players in the same group feed off each other’s good play, Scottie says he and Sam have done the same this year. The relationship took on a new dimension last fall, when they were both candidates for the final Ryder Cup roster spot. When U.S. Captain Steve Stricker called Sam to tell him that he wouldn’t be on the team, he felt conflicting emotions because he knew the spot would go to Scottie. The Schefflers called soon after, and the couples spoke for a half-hour to process the emotions. “That can ruin a friendship if it’s not something that’s talked about,” Scottie says. He beat Jon Rahm, then the world’s top-ranked player, as part of the U.S. win. Burns won his second PGA TOUR title the next week at the Sanderson Farms Championship. At the time, Scheffler was still without a PGA TOUR win. Sharing those doubts with Burns – “Is this really ever going to happen?” Scheffler admits wondering – helped ease the burden. “Golf will put you in bad places real quick,” Scheffler says. They’ve also been able to share in each other’s successes. Sam missed the cut in his Masters debut this year, but as he and Caroline left their Augusta house on that Saturday morning they asked how they could pray for the Schefflers before the most important 48 hours of Scottie’s career. A month later, Scottie and Sam were in a playoff at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Sam made up a seven-shot deficit, posting a 65 early, while Scottie shot 72, the wind whipping as he navigated the back nine. Scottie made par on 18 just to force a playoff. “You didn’t think I’d let you off that easy, did you?” he asked when he saw Burns before the playoff. No, but Burns sank a 40-footer for birdie to win on the first playoff hole. Undoubtedly frustrated after not making a birdie in the final round, Scheffler was still smiling as he embraced his victorious friend. When asked about the early days of their friendship, Sam mentions a pool stick and Scottie lights up at the reference to junior golf-hijinks. During a tournament, Sam broke a pool cue in the TPC Sawgrass clubhouse while using it like a baseball bat to hit a ping-pong ball. The broken piece flew into a window and broke a shutter. “The next year, we were changing our shoes in the parking lot,” Scottie says with a chuckle. They saw less of each other when Scottie went to college at Texas and Sam decamped for LSU, but they reconnected when Scottie joined Sam on TOUR for the 2020 season. Their first time staying together was the two-week stretch in Ohio for consecutive events at Muirfield Village Golf Club. The Schefflers were engaged, and Meredith was still working in Dallas. She was astonished when Scottie texted her to say he was eating pasta made from chickpeas, a healthier option she’d been unsuccessful in convincing him to try. “Who is this saint that’s getting my husband to eat chickpea pasta?” she remembers thinking. It was Caroline, who quickly became friends with Meredith when she joined them on the road after she and Scottie got married later that year. The group’s conversations cover a wide variety of topics when they’re together in the evenings, but golf is rarely one of them. Scottie and Sam cover that during their infamously mediocre practice rounds. The ongoing joke is that if one of them can break par on Tuesday, he’ll probably win that week. They bicker like brothers, arguing over Scottie’s slow response to text messages or Sam’s selective hearing when looking at his phone. The competitiveness that serves them well on the course spills over to the board game Sequence or gin rummy. While some play games for the conversation, for Scottie and Sam it’s admittedly about winning. Sometimes each couple is a team. Other times, it’s husbands versus wives. Caroline, who ran track in high school, shares Sam’s competitive streak. Debating who would win a 60-yard dash between her and her husband turns into accusations about Sam’s false start the first time they lined up. He sarcastically responds that his reaction time is simply superior. “We try not to let them be on the same team too much because if they lose, they fight,” Scottie interjects, hoping to fan the flames. Sam responds, his expression deadpan: “We’re very competitive, so if we don’t see the other one giving their best effort then we need to let them know.” Meredith is the least competitive. “Except when she’s playing against me,” Scottie says. She is known more for being a peacemaker and for her popcorn, which she makes with a machine she brings from home. Garlic hummus is another staple in their house. Even in their sarcasm is their affection apparent. The evening is coming to an end and Payne wraps it up with a soliloquy on the importance of friendship. “We were created for community and fellowship,” he says in closing. And, with that, it is Scottie’s turn to do the dishes.

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