Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Win probabilities: Farmers Insurance Open

Win probabilities: Farmers Insurance Open

2019 Farmers Insurance Open, end of Round 2: Round 2 course scoring averages: South Course (SC): +0.3 strokes per round North Course (NC): -1.7 Top 5 win probabilities: Justin Rose (1, -15): 58.3% Hideki Matsuyama (2, -12) : 11.7% Jon Rahm (T3, -10): 9.2% Billy Horschel (T3, -10): 3.4% Rory McIlroy (T9, -8): 2.3% Top 5 biggest movers on Friday (in terms of win probability): Justin Rose (+36.6%) Jon Rahm (-16.8%) Hideki Matsuyama (+8.8%) Tony Finau (-4.0%) Charles Howell III (-3.5%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Farmers Insurance Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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American Family Insurance Championship
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Alker/Langer+550
Cejka/Kjeldsen+750
Kelly/Leonard+1000
Bjorn/Clarke+1100
Cabrera/Gonzalez+1100
Cink/Toms+1400
Stricker/Tiziani+1400
Allan/Chalmers+1600
Green/Hensby+1800
Wi/Yang+1800
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2nd Round Match-Ups - B. Hossler vs H. Norlander
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Beau Hossler-110
Henrik Norlander-110
2nd Round Match-Ups - J. Lower vs N. Hojgaard
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Nicolai Hojgaard-120
Justin Lower+100
2nd Round 3-Balls - B. Hossler / H. Norlander / R. Sloan
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Henrik Norlander+135
Beau Hossler+165
Roger Sloan+240
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Lower / N. Hojgaard / D. Wu
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Justin Lower+165
Nicolai Hojgaard+165
Dylan Wu+200
Virginia
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+450
Jon Rahm+550
Joaquin Niemann+700
Tyrrell Hatton+1200
Patrick Reed+1800
Carlos Ortiz+2200
Lucas Herbert+2200
Cameron Smith+2500
David Puig+2500
Sergio Garcia+2500
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Tournament Match-Ups - P. Casey v T. McKibbin
Type: Requests - Status: OPEN
Paul Casey-115
Tom McKibbin-115
1st Round 3-Balls - D. Burmester / B. Grace / C. Schwartzel
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Dean Burmester+120
Charl Schwartzel+170
Branden Grace+275
1st Round 3-Balls - S. Garcia / L. Oosthuizen / M. Kaymer
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sergio Garcia+105
Louis Oosthuizen+145
Martin Kaymer+400
1st Round 3-Balls - T. Hatton / T. McKibbin / C. Surratt
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Tyrrell Hatton+105
Tom McKibbin+200
Caleb Surratt+260
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Herbert / M. Leishman / M. Jones
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Lucas Herbert+100
Marc Leishman+170
Matt Jones+350
1st Round 3-Balls - B. Koepka / D. Johnson / C. Smith
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Cameron Smith+150
Brooks Koepka+175
Dustin Johnson+200
1st Round 3-Balls - B. DeChambeau / J. Rahm / J. Niemann
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+150
Jon Rahm+170
Joaquin Niemann+210
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group A - B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton / J. Rahm / P. Reed / J. Niemann / C. Ortiz
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+280
Jon Rahm+320
Joaquin Niemann+375
Tyrrell Hatton+500
Patrick Reed+600
Carlos Ortiz+700
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group B - C. Smith / S. Garcia / L. Herbert / D. Burmester / S. Munoz / B. Koepka
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Cameron Smith+375
Lucas Herbert+375
Sebastian Munoz+425
Brooks Koepka+450
Dean Burmester+450
Sergio Garcia+450
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group C - T. Gooch / P. Casey / C. Tringale / M. Leishman / D. Johnson / R. Bland
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Talor Gooch+350
Cameron Tringale+400
Dustin Johnson+400
Marc Leishman+450
Paul Casey+450
Richard Bland+475
1st Round Six-Shooter - Group D - T. McKibbin / B. Watson / C. Schwartzel / L. Oosthuizen / T. Pieters / H. Varner
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter - Status: OPEN
Tom McKibbin+400
Bubba Watson+425
Charl Schwartzel+425
Thomas Pieters+425
Harold Varner III+450
Louis Oosthuizen+450
Bryson DeChambeau
Type: Bryson DeChambeau - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-135
Top 10 Finish-350
Top 20 Finish-1200
Jon Rahm
Type: Jon Rahm - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish-115
Top 10 Finish-300
Top 20 Finish-1200
Joaquin Niemann
Type: Joaquin Niemann - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+100
Top 10 Finish-250
Top 20 Finish-900
Tyrrell Hatton
Type: Tyrrell Hatton - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+180
Top 10 Finish-150
Top 20 Finish-600
Patrick Reed
Type: Patrick Reed - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+290
Top 10 Finish+105
Top 20 Finish-400
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Ramey / A. Putnam / R. Hoey
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Rico Hoey+125
Andrew Putnam+175
Chad Ramey+250
Carlos Ortiz
Type: Carlos Ortiz - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+310
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-400
Lucas Herbert
Type: Lucas Herbert - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+310
Top 10 Finish+115
Top 20 Finish-400
Cameron Smith
Type: Cameron Smith - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
Top 20 Finish-350
David Puig
Type: David Puig - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
Top 20 Finish-350
Sergio Garcia
Type: Sergio Garcia - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+350
Top 10 Finish+125
Top 20 Finish-350
Brooks Koepka
Type: Brooks Koepka - Status: OPEN
Top 5 Finish+400
Top 10 Finish+140
Top 20 Finish-300
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Weir / C. Kim / B. Silverman
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Ben Silverman+125
Chan Kim+130
Mike Weir+375
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Ghim / H. Buckley / M. Meissner
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Doug Ghim+125
Mac Meissner+190
Hayden Buckley+225
2nd Round Six Shooter - R. McIlroy / L. Aberg / S. Burns / SJ Im / L. Clanton / M. Homa
Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+240
Ludvig Aberg+350
Sam Burns+400
Sungjae Im+550
Luke Clanton+600
Max Homa+700
2nd Round Six Shooter - T. Pendrith / N. Taylor / M. Hughes / D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland
Type: 2nd Round Six Shooter - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith+275
Nick Taylor+350
Mackenzie Hughes+400
Davis Riley+475
Lee Hodges+550
Gary Woodland+700
2nd Round Match-Ups - S. Burns vs T. Pendrith
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns-110
Taylor Pendrith-110
2nd Round Match-Ups - H. Hall vs D. Riley
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Harry Hall-125
Davis Riley+105
2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Homa vs S. Im
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Sungjae Im-125
Max Homa+105
2nd Round 3-Balls - S. Burns / M. Homa / S. Im
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Sam Burns+120
Sungjae Im+210
Max Homa+220
2nd Round 3-Balls - D. Riley / L. Hodges / G. Woodland
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Davis Riley+150
Lee Hodges+175
Gary Woodland+200
2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Hughes vs N. Taylor
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Nick Taylor-120
Mackenzie Hughes+100
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Taylor / T. Pendrith / M. Hughes
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith+130
Nick Taylor+180
Mackenzie Hughes+230
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Pavon / A. Svensson / A. Wise
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Matthieu Pavon+125
Adam Svensson+135
Aaron Wise+350
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jin Young Ko+135
Rio Takeda+160
Lauren Coughlin+240
2nd Round Match-Ups - L. Aberg vs R. McIIroy
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy-130
Ludvig Aberg+110
2nd Round Match-Ups - K. Mitchell vs T. Detry
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell-120
Thomas Detry+100
2nd Round 3-Balls - R. McIIroy / L. Aberg / L. Clanton
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+125
Ludvig Aberg+165
Luke Clanton+275
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Detry / K. Mitchell / B. Hun An
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell+145
Thomas Detry+170
Byeong Hun An+225
1st Round 3-Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda-110
Mao Saigo+200
Maja Stark+320
2nd Round 3-Balls - H. Hall / T. Moore / K. Kitayama
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Harry Hall+145
Kurt Kitayama+180
Taylor Moore+200
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Villegas / E. Grillo / N. Hardy
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Emiliano Grillo+105
Nick Hardy+180
Camilo Villegas+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Lashley / A. Smalley / V. Perez
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alex Smalley+120
Victor Perez+165
Nate Lashley+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Dahmen / P. Rodgers / C. Young
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Patrick Rodgers+135
Carson Young+180
Joel Dahmen+220
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Onishi / M. Creighton / M. Anderson
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Matthew Anderson+140
Myles Creighton+185
Kaito Onishi+210
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Rosenmueller / M. Andersen / J. Goldenberg
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Thomas Rosenmueller+100
Matthew Anderson+170
Josh Goldenberg+340
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Velo / B. Thornberry / W. Heffernan
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Kevin Velo+110
Braden Thornberry+145
Wes Heffernan+375
2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Peterson / P. Knowles / H. Thomson
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Hunter Thomson+135
Paul Peterson+140
Philip Knowles+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Norgaard / G. Sargent / J. Keefer
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Johnny Keefer+110
Niklas Norgaard+120
Gordon Sargent+550
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Rozner / V. Covello / W. Wang
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Antoine Rozner-230
Vince Covello+400
Wei-Hsuan Wang+425
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / T. Cone / A.J. Ewart
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Takumi Kanaya-110
A J Ewart+250
Trevor Cone+250
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Goodwin / Y. Cao / B. Botha
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Noah Goodwin+110
Barend Botha+200
Yi Cao+250
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
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The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
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Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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‘I haven’t felt this good in years’‘I haven’t felt this good in years’

A month after fusion surgery on his back, Tiger Woods stated Wednesday that he experienced “instant nerve relief� and added, “I haven’t felt this good in years.� Woods provided the update on his health in a blog post on his website. On April 20, Woods announced that his latest back surgery – his fourth since 2014 – would require a recovery time of potentially six months, thus knocking him out of the rest of the 2016-17 PGA TOUR season. On Wednesday, he put to rest any rumors that he’s contemplating retirement. “I want to say unequivocally, I want to play professional golf again,� he wrote. He noted that the long-term prognosis “is positive. My surgeon and physiotherapist say the operation was successful. It’s just a matter of not screwing up and letting it fuse.� Woods added that he remains focused on his rehabilitation, which includes walking and specified exercises. “Presently, I’m not looking ahead,� Woods wrote. “I can’t twist for another two and a half to three months. Right now, my sole focus is rehab and doing what the doctors tell me. I am concentrating on short-term goals.� Woods acknowledged that his rehab has “a long way to go� but that he’s glad to be pain-free. “You mention the word ‘fusion,’ and it’s scary,� Woods wrote. “Other guys who have had fusions or disc replacements like Davis Love III, Retief Goosen, Lee Trevino, Lanny Wadkins and Dudley Hart … they have all come back and played. “But more than anything, it made their lives better. That’s the most important thing … that I can have a life again with my kids.�

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THE NORTHERN TRUST, Round 4 updates: FedExCup PlayoffsTHE NORTHERN TRUST, Round 4 updates: FedExCup Playoffs

NORTON, Mass. - For 66 holes you could have been forgiven for paying very little attention to Robby Shelton at THE NORTHERN TRUST. He was a modest 7-under par and in a different time zone from the leader, Dustin Johnson. Then, "a switch went off" and the inexplicable side of golf poured forth in all its glory. To brush it aside by saying he played his final six holes at TPC Boston in 6-under doesn't quite do it justice. Not when it came so shockingly and so unexpectedly and created a most favorable change in Shelton's schedule. As birthday gifts go (the onetime University of Alabama star will turn 25 Tuesday), the one he gave himself is a trip to Olympia Fields for next week's BMW Championship. RELATED: Final leaderboard | FedExCup Playoffs: Projected standings "You know, that's been my goal the whole year, to make it to the BMW," said Shelton, whose blistering 63 - 271 finish got him into a share of 13th in his first-ever FedExCup Playoff. More importantly, it enabled Shelton, who started the week 81st in the FedExCup standings, to break into the Top 70 (he's No. 62) and get a spot in next week's field. He likely will never forget the sequence of shots that got him there. Par-4 13: His ball sitting on the fringe with a piece of mud on it, Shelton could only strike the 44-foot putt and hope. "Just got kind of lucky," he said. "The ball found the center of the cup." Par-4 14: Shelton hit two brilliant shots into the 516-yard best, then drained a 13-foot putt. It was one of two birdies at the hole in Round 3. Par-4 15: It officially got glorious when his 132-yard approach hit 5 feet beyond the hole and spun back into the cup for an eagle. "I mean, it was dead center in the cup. So, pretty cool." Par-3 16: Missing the green right, Shelton wedged it to 7 ½ feet and made the clutch save. Par-4 17: From 14 feet, he made yet another crucial putt, this one for birdie. "First three days, nothing went in," he said, shaking his head. "It was just very slow. Finally, it happened." Par-5 18: His second shot from 238 yards found the green and Shelton deftly two-putted from 28 feet for his seventh birdie of the round, one that he would come to treasure for it earned him a visit to a place that is special to him. Olympia Fields is where Shelton, in 2013, won his first collegiate tournament, the Olympia Fields / Fighting Illini Invitational. The emotions piled up and while in the aftermath of his finish he sat a whopping nine strokes being Dustin Johnson, who had not yet teed off, "It kind of felt like I was winning the golf tournament for a minute there," he said. He didn't, of course, but he did win that tournament within a tournament that players challenge themselves with. "My caddie and I knew we had to get to probably Top 20, at least, to have a chance," said Shelton, who got the update after signing his card and offered a massive exhale. "I can breathe," he laughed. Coming from way back: No one came from a deeper hole to fight his way into the BMW Championship than Russell Henley, who went from No. 101 to 61. When play resumed after the three-month break, was 127th in the FedExCup standings and promptly fell even lower when he missed the cut at the RBC Heritage and went for a T-32 at the Travelers Championship. He fought into the playoffs with a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open and T-9 last week at the Wyndham Championship, the grinded even more furiously at TPC Boston. "Like I've said so many times," said Henley, "it's good golf out here; you are working hard to shave off a stroke or half-a-stroke every day. It's such a grind." Closing 68 - 269 for his third top 10 since the return to golf, Henley concedes he felt like "walking in" when he doubled the par-5 second and bogeyed the par-4 fourth. That's how much volatility is in play. But he calmed down, played the next 14 holes in a bogey-free 6-under, and punched his ticket to the next round. After the lights went out: Five players who were outside the Top 70 earned their way into next week's BMW Championship, but no one did it more dramatically than Louis Oosthuizen. When torrential rain fell, the South African was in the fairway at 18, knowing he needed birdie to get the 70th and final spot. At 7:15 p.m., he returned, waited a few minutes for Daniel Berger and Harry Higgs to finish on the green, then rifled a 3-iron 235 yards and found the green. How did he do that in the dark? "The way I was playing today, it was the best way to play," he laughed. Four-over on his round through 13 holes, Oosthuizen figured his season was done. But he birdied the par-3 16th, saw during the 1 hour 15 minute rain delay that he would make it with birdie, so he asked for the chance to hit a few balls on the range. His putt from 33 feet left him a 4-footer to seal his trip to the BMW as the 70th seed and Oosthuizen converted. Others who moved in: The other four players who started outside the Top 70 but moved in were Shelton; Alex Noren (68 -269, T8), acquitted himself nicely to move from 78th to 47th; Harry Higgs (71 - 270, T-11), who went from 72nd to 48th; and No. 66 Jason Kokrak (65 - 271, T13), who quietly earned his way into the BMW for a third straight year. The were in, now they're out: With five guys moving in, these five started inside the Top 70, but fell out - Doc Redman, Denny McCarthy, Phil Mickelson, Henrik Norlander, and Xinjun Zhang. Notables on the outside looking in: They made the cut at THE NORTHERN TRUST, so there was still hope. But, first, they needed explosive weekends. Unfortunately, it didn't work out for Ian Poulter (73-69), Rickie Fowler (71-69), Tommy Fleetwood (71-70) as they combined to shoot just 3 under when everyone around them was piling up birdies. 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Two-green system in play at ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPTwo-green system in play at ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP

Yes. You are seeing double. The keen observer will notice something interesting at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP this week – each hole has two greens. Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club is much like many Japanese golf courses in this way, a design method left over from the days before technology allowed hybrid grasses to be able to withstand a wide array of weather conditions. Because summers could tend to be hot and humid and winters short and cold in Japan, it was once very challenging to maintain great greens year round. So courses would prepare two greens, one for summer and one for winter. You would typically see summer greens with Bermuda or zyosia grass and winter greens with bentgrass. But during the last decade, the development of hybrid grasses has meant superintendents can now use a uniform turf – which is the case at Accordia now with bentgrass. Some courses have since moved to a single green system while others continue to maintain two. In a first for the PGA TOUR, this tournament will actually utilize both greens on the long par-4 fourth. From the tee players face a lake down the left side. The left “Aâ€� green adds an additional 20 yards to the hole and has out-of-bounds long. The right “Bâ€� green is heavily guarded by water and two bunkers. The greens will never be simultaneously in play but will be used in alternating rounds. “I’ve never seen that. It still freaks me out because I see the hole one way and the green might be somewhere else,â€� young star Collin Morikawa said. “It’s going to be interesting how guys play, but I think it will be really fun. It’s something different, something you don’t see every day, especially in the United States. I don’t know a place that has two greens unless you’re playing soccer golf.â€� Local favorite Hideki Matsuyama spoke of the importance of finding the fairway. He saw it up close in the MGM Resorts The Challenge: Japan Skins earlier this week, and how tough it plays after finding the water from the tee. On that afternoon he had a choice of green to go for but couldn’t get there until his fourth shot. He won’t get the luxury of choice during the tournament. “If you don’t hit the fairway it is a very long hole,â€� Matsuyama said. “It will be a challenge for the players and one that will have a bearing on the result for sure.â€� In the skins game, only Rory McIlroy reached a green in regulation with Jason Day coming up short despite being in the fairway. Tiger Woods found the grass between the two greens on his approach. McIlroy and Woods walked away with pars but Day would have dropped a shot had it been stroke play. Matsuyama would have been seeing double in more ways than one.

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