Officialsportsbetting.com Golf Betting Cut prediction: Valero Texas Open

Cut prediction: Valero Texas Open

Thursday Night Stat Report It was a difficult day for scoring in the opening round at the Valero Texas Open, with only 4 holes playing under par on the day. Here is a graphic detailing hole-by-hole scoring from Thursday’s round: Currently, there are 86 players at 1 over par or better (T64th position). Our model is projecting Friday’s cutline as follows (as usual, assuming that the course plays to a scoring average similar to Thursday’s): 2 over par: 74.2 percent 3 over par: 24.8 percent 1 over par: 1.0 percent This week’s field at the Valero Texas Open is as big as they come on the PGA TOUR (156 players) and, due to a relative lack of starpower, one of the more evenly-matched fields as well. As a consequence, our model’s highest cut projection at the start of the tournament was just 74 percent, belonging to Matt Kuchar (in a typical week, the highest cut projection will usually be 80 to 90 percent). After shooting 1 under par today, Kuchar’s cut probability now sits at 91 percent. One of the biggest movers on the day was Grayson Murray, whose probability of making the cut rose from 54 percent at the start of Thursday to 99 percent, thanks to his 5 under par round of 67. This implies that the model is giving Murray about a 1 percent chance of shooting 7 over par or worse tomorrow, given how the cutline is being projected above (nobody tell Grayson!). Some other notable cut probabilities heading into Friday’s round are Kevin Chappell (Even par; 80 percent), Brendan Steele (2 under par; 95 percent), Adam Scott (3 over par; 43 percent), and Sergio Garcia (2 over par; 59 percent). NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Valero Texas Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.  

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2nd Round Match-Ups - M. Hughes vs N. Taylor
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Nick Taylor-120
Mackenzie Hughes+100
2nd Round Match-Ups - A. Rozner v M. Pavon
Type: Requests - Status: OPEN
Antoine Rozner-115
Matthieu Pavon-105
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Taylor / T. Pendrith / M. Hughes
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Taylor Pendrith+130
Nick Taylor+180
Mackenzie Hughes+230
2nd Round 3-Balls - M. Pavon / A. Svensson / A. Wise
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Matthieu Pavon+125
Adam Svensson+135
Aaron Wise+350
1st Round 3-Balls - L. Coughlin / J.Y. Ko / R. Takeda
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Jin Young Ko+135
Rio Takeda+160
Lauren Coughlin+240
2nd Round Match-Ups - L. Aberg vs R. McIIroy
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy-130
Ludvig Aberg+110
2nd Round Match-Ups - K. Mitchell vs T. Detry
Type: 2nd Round Match-Ups - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell-120
Thomas Detry+100
2nd Round 3-Balls - R. McIIroy / L. Aberg / L. Clanton
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy+125
Ludvig Aberg+165
Luke Clanton+275
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Detry / K. Mitchell / B. Hun An
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Keith Mitchell+145
Thomas Detry+170
Byeong Hun An+225
1st Round 3-Balls - N. Korda / M. Stark / M. Saigo
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda-110
Mao Saigo+200
Maja Stark+320
2nd Round 3-Balls - H. Hall / T. Moore / K. Kitayama
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Harry Hall+145
Kurt Kitayama+180
Taylor Moore+200
2nd Round 3-Balls - C. Villegas / E. Grillo / N. Hardy
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Emiliano Grillo+105
Nick Hardy+180
Camilo Villegas+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Lashley / A. Smalley / V. Perez
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Alex Smalley+120
Victor Perez+165
Nate Lashley+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - J. Dahmen / P. Rodgers / C. Young
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Patrick Rodgers+135
Carson Young+180
Joel Dahmen+220
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Onishi / M. Creighton / M. Anderson
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Matthew Anderson+140
Myles Creighton+185
Kaito Onishi+210
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Rosenmueller / M. Andersen / J. Goldenberg
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Thomas Rosenmueller+100
Matthew Anderson+170
Josh Goldenberg+340
2nd Round 3-Balls - K. Velo / B. Thornberry / W. Heffernan
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Kevin Velo+110
Braden Thornberry+145
Wes Heffernan+375
2nd Round 3-Balls - P. Peterson / P. Knowles / H. Thomson
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Hunter Thomson+135
Paul Peterson+140
Philip Knowles+300
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Norgaard / G. Sargent / J. Keefer
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Johnny Keefer+110
Niklas Norgaard+120
Gordon Sargent+550
2nd Round 3-Balls - A. Rozner / V. Covello / W. Wang
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Antoine Rozner-230
Vince Covello+400
Wei-Hsuan Wang+425
2nd Round 3-Balls - T. Kanaya / T. Cone / A.J. Ewart
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Takumi Kanaya-110
A J Ewart+250
Trevor Cone+250
2nd Round 3-Balls - N. Goodwin / Y. Cao / B. Botha
Type: 2nd Round 3-Balls - Status: OPEN
Noah Goodwin+110
Barend Botha+200
Yi Cao+250
Major Specials 2025
Type: To Win A Major 2025 - Status: OPEN
Bryson DeChambeau+500
Jon Rahm+750
Collin Morikawa+900
Xander Schauffele+900
Ludvig Aberg+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Joaquin Niemann+1400
Shane Lowry+1600
Tommy Fleetwood+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
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US Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+275
Rory McIlroy+650
Bryson DeChambeau+700
Jon Rahm+1200
Xander Schauffele+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Justin Thomas+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Shane Lowry+3500
Click here for more...
The Open 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+400
Rory McIlroy+500
Xander Schauffele+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Collin Morikawa+1600
Jon Rahm+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Shane Lowry+2500
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2500
Click here for more...
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN
USA-150
Europe+140
Tie+1200

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Rory McIlroy misfires in final group againRory McIlroy misfires in final group again

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Some squawking, some uncertainty at redesigned 12th hole at TPC BostonSome squawking, some uncertainty at redesigned 12th hole at TPC Boston

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