Potter outplays Johnson for Pebble Beach win

2022 Wells Fargo Championship, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: -0.35 strokes per round Morning wave: +0.19 Afternoon wave: -0.88 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 79 players at -1 or better (T60) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 2 under par: 37.6% 2. 1 under par: 36.6% 3. 3 under par: 12.3% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Jason Day (1, -7, 11.3%) 2. Joel Dahmen (2, -6, 8.7%) 3. Rory McIlroy (T17, -3, 7.0%) 4. Aaron Rai (T3, -5, 5.0%) 5. Denny McCarthy (T3, -5, 4.3%) 6. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T38, -2, 3.3%) 7. Max Homa (T17, -3, 2.8%) 8. Russell Henley (T38, -2, 2.7%) 9. Sergio Garcia (T17, -3, 2.3%) 10. Si Woo Kim (T17, -3, 2.3%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Wells Fargo Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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AUGUSTA, Ga. — Even without spectators in November, the Masters Tournament promised to deliver more drama with 10 players separated by a single shot going into a weekend filled with possibilities. And then Dustin Johnson turned it into a one-man show. RELATED: Leaderboard | Rory finding his stride | DeChambeau battles dizziness to make cut The reigning FedExCup champion looked every bit the part Saturday, racing away from a five-way share of the lead with an explosive start — 4 under through four holes — and never letting his foot off the gas until he had a 7-under 65 and matched the 54-hole Masters record. More importantly, Johnson had a four-shot lead. Sunday will be the third time Johnson takes a solo lead into the final round of a major, along with two other majors where he was tied for the lead. His only major was the 2016 U.S. Open when he came from behind. Most recently, he had a one-shot lead at Harding Park in the PGA Championship this summer, closed with a 68 and lost to a 64 by Collin Morikawa. This effort was master class. Johnson used putter from above a slope to the right of the 18th green to 5 feet and holed that for a par to cap off another bogey-free round and reach 16-under 200. That ties the record set by Jordan Spieth in 2015, when he went on to a four-shot victory over Justin Rose and Phil Mickelson. Not all the players chasing Johnson are as familiar. Two of them are Masters rookies. Sungjae Im, the supreme ball-striker from South Korea who won his first PGA TOUR title two weeks before the COVID-19 pandemic shut down golf in the spring, birdied the last hole for 68. Abraham Ancer of Mexico saved par on the 18th for a 69. They were at 12-under 204, along with Cameron Smith of Australia. Smith opened with 12 pars before running off three straight birdies and scrambling his way home to a 69. Justin Thomas and Jon Rahm had their chances only to make untimely mistakes. Rahm nearly topped his second shot on the par-5 eighth and hit his next one off a tree and into the bushes on his way to a double bogey. Thomas sailed his second shot over the 15th green and into the water, making bogey on a par 5 where he was hoping to make up ground. Both bogeyed the 18th hole. Thomas shot 71, Rahm had a 72. Asked to describe his day, Rahm didn’t mince words. "Seriously? How would I describe? Pretty awful," he said. Defending champion Tiger Woods will stick around Sunday to present the green jacket, and he’ll have to leave his at Augusta National until he returns. Woods was 4 under through 10 holes to start the Masters, and he picked up only one more shot over the next 44 holes. He finished off a 71 in the second round, had a 72 in the third round and was 11 shots behind. It likely didn’t help the 44-year-old Woods to go 26 holes on soft turf of a hilly course, "It’s just part of the deal," he said. "If you have long days like this, I’m going to get a little bit sore, which I definitely am." U.S. Open champion Bryson DeChambeau was more dizzy than sore. He felt so odd on Thursday night that he had another COVID-19 test to be sure — it came back negative — and the betting favorite of this Masters was in the middle of the pack. The scoring has been low all week. The 36-hole cut Saturday morning was at even-par 144, the lowest in Masters history, another update to the club’s record book. Still in front of Johnson is a chance to set the 72-hole record. All he cares about is a green jacket, and given his past experience, he knows better than to look ahead. "I feel like I’m swinging well and I’ve got a lot of confidence in what I’m doing. Everything is going well," he said. "There’s a lot of really good players right around me. I’m going to have play aggressive when I can and play smart when I can’t.” He was aggressive at the start. First, he drilled a 5-iron he nearly holed for an albatross on the par-5 second, leaving him a tap-in eagle. He followed that with a lofted pitch to 5 feet for birdie on No. 3, and a 40-foot birdie putt up the slope on the par-3 fourth hole as the lead began to grow. Thomas was within two shots until he made mistakes and Johnson kept going. Johnson had two-putt birdies on the par 5s on the back nine, and he hasn’t made a bogey since the sixth hole of his second round.

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Thompson leads at Kingsmill Championship

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