One & Done: AT&T Byron Nelson

HONOLULU — Nick Taylor pitched in for eagle to get his round headed in the right direction, and he kept going until he finished with a good break and one last birdie for an 8-under 62 and a two-shot lead Friday in the Sony Open in Hawaii. RELATED: Leaderboard | Morikawa, Niemann in position for rebound win It’s still as crowded as the H-1 at the top, typical of this tournament. Taylor gave himself at least some separation with a gap wedge to 6 feet for birdie on No. 8, and then even his worst swing of the day turned into a birdie on the par-5 ninth. The Canadian hooked his tee shot toward the high netting of the driving range. The ball was so close to the knee-high boundary fence that his only hope was to play the shot left-handed. However, the netting that extends upward from the fence is considered a temporary immovable obstructure. Taylor was given a free drop. He hit iron to about 50 yards short of the green leaving a good angle, and he clipped a wedge to 2 feet. “It was a fortunate break,” Taylor said. “Easily could have probably gone under the fence, but to bounce off and get a drop was a break and it was nice to take advantage of it.” Taylor, who won at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am last year, was at 12-under 128. Five players were two shots behind, a group that was decidedly Southern for the second leg of this Hawaii swing — Stewart Cink (63), Webb Simpson (65), Russell Henley (64), Vaughn Taylor (66) and Chris Kirk (65). It doesn’t stop there. Fourteen players were separated by three shots going into the weekend. Attribute that to an ideal day of a blue sky and only a light, tropical breeze on a dry course at Waialae. Taylor played in a group with Keith Mitchell, who also shot a 62. Their better-ball score was 55, with only four holes where neither of them made a birdie. Mitchell also was right around the cut line. Birdies started dropping, and now he’s right in the mix. Ditto for Harris English, who had at least a share of the lead after every round in his playoff victory last week at Kapalua. He opened with a 70 and was in danger of missing the cut. He shot 64 and was six back. “I think it’s probably harder out here to make double (bogey) and there’s a lot of birdie opportunities,” Taylor said. “You can make four, five, six pars in a row and you’re probably getting lapped, especially with how the fairways are running.” Taylor wasn’t even doing that. He was 1 over through 5 holes, slipping behind the cut line. But instead of worrying about the cut, he just kept playing and putting, along with that chip-in for eagle on the 18th. Waialae has never looked so empty without fans, and Taylor wasn’t sure how to react except to eventually high-five his caddie. Sergio Garcia had a moment like that. He holed a flop shot from right of the sixth green and simply stood there. No one was sure where it went until a caddie reached into the cup and tossed the ball to him. But it’s plenty crowded on the scoreboard, and the weekend figures to be as wild as ever. Cink already won the season-opener in the Safeway Open in September, his first victory since the 2009 Open Championship at Turnberry. He and his wife, a cancer survivor, recovered from COVID-19. His 23-year-old took a leave from Delta Airlines to caddie for him. It doesn’t take much to make the 47-year-old smile. And then he played golf beneath a gorgeous blue sky in a light, tropical breeze with gentle surf along the edge of Waialae. “Today was a dream day for playing here at Waialae,” he said. “It was almost no wind. There was a little bit of moisture on the ground from last night, and it was a day where you could really dial it in. You could really hit your spots instead of having to do the usual, which is figure out how wind is going to help or hurt the ball.” The group three shots behind included Kapalua runner-up Joaquin Niemann of Chile, Collin Morikawa and Hideki Matsuyama, who shot 28 on his second nine for a 65. The weather was so good that Simpson was nervous. He was 1 under for his round in conditions where he felt the good scores would be in the 62 range. And then he made a 25-foot birdie putt on the par-3 fourth, closed with three straight birdies and felt a lot better. “It’s one of those days where calm winds, you feel like you need to go shoot 7, 8, 9 under, and I was a couple under for a while there,” he said. “Really happy with my finish and I thought if I can get it to double digits, I would be at least close to the lead going into Saturday.”

Click here to read the full article…

2019 The Honda Classic, End of Round 2: Top 10 win probabilities: Sungjae Im (T1, -6): 12.7% Brooks Koepka (T4, -4): 10.7% Lucas Glover (3, -5): 10.3% Keith Mitchell (T1, -6): 9.8% Sergio Garcia (T13, -3): 5.1% Danny Lee (T4, -4): 3.8% Adam Schenk (T4, -4): 3.1% Rickie Fowler (T32, -1): 2.8% Ryan Armour (T4, -4): 2.6% Sung Kang (T4, -4): 2.6% Best second round performances: SG: Total: Sungjae Im / Adam Svensson (+7.45) SG: Off-the-tee: Ryan Palmer (+1.66) SG: Approach: Grayson Murray (+3.91) SG: Around-the-green: Adam Svensson (+3.43) SG: Putting: Austin Cook (+3.94) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The Honda Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

Click here to read the full article…

As predicted in this space a week ago, fantasy scoring exploded at the AT&T Byron Nelson because Driving is weighted in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO. This was due to the absence of intermediate and primary rough at Trinity Forest. The entry, Undercover, won the tournament with a whopping 1,922 points, easily a season-high total by any gamer. Entering the week, Grodo’s 1,668 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open was atop the charts. Only four other weekly leaders eclipsed 1,600 points. Trinity Forest yielded a fairways-hit percentage of 79.50. That’s the highest since SilverRock’s 81.37 percent as a co-host of the CareerBuilder Challenge in 2011. Of the 1,386 courses measured since the statistic was first maintained in 1992, Trinity Forest’s clip ranks 21st-highest. (SilverRock’s 85.32 percent in 2010 is the record.) Don’t count on a similar output at the Fort Worth Invitational. Last year, the weekly winner amassed “only” 1,317 points. Meanwhile, we’re encroaching on that time of year that gamers covet as decorated amateurs joins the ranks of the play-for-pay contingent. For example, Joaquin Niemann cannonballed into the pool with a solo sixth at the Valero Texas Open. Next week, 2017 U.S. Amateur champion Doc Redman will turn professional for the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide. As a result, he forfeits exemptions into the U.S. Open and The Open Championship. Currently 22nd in the World Amateur Golf Ranking, the sophomore at Clemson will lead the Tigers into the NCAA Championship in Stillwater, Oklahoma, later this week. PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO My roster for the Fort Worth Invitational (in alphabetical order): Jason Dufner Zach Johnson Kevin Kisner Adam Scott Webb Simpson Jordan Spieth You’ll find my starters in Expert Picks. Others to consider for each category (in alphabetical order): Scoring: Patrick Cantlay; Bryson DeChambeau; Rickie Fowler; Chesson Hadley; Pat Perez; Jon Rahm; Justin Rose; Jimmy Walker Driving: Patrick Cantlay; Bryson DeChambeau; Rickie Fowler; Emiliano Grillo; Pat Perez; Jon Rahm; Justin Rose Approach: Bryson DeChambeau; Rickie Fowler; Emiliano Grillo; Chesson Hadley; David Hearn; Matt Kuchar; Pat Perez; Nick Watney Short: Emiliano Grillo; Chesson Hadley; Brian Harman; Matt Kuchar; Kevin Na; Justin Rose; Jimmy Walker; Nick Watney Power Rankings Wild Card Brooks Koepka … Lands here almost by default because of who he is, not because he’s a shrewd investment. He’s making his tournament debut, which automatically eliminates him as a favorite at Colonial. However, there’s reason to be hopeful after a T11 at THE PLAYERS where he ranked 10th in strokes gained: tee-to-green, eighth in proximity and second in scrambling. The Fort Worth Invitational is just his fourth start since returning from injury, so he’s also more refreshed and recharged than just about everyone else in the field. That bodes well with his title defense at the U.S. Open looming on the horizon. Draws Kevin Na … He’s as much of a moving target as any talent on the board, but with a sturdy record at Colonial (9-for-11 with three top 10s and another three top 25s) and a T6 at Trinity Forest fueling the feels, this sets up as a good time to pounce. Xander Schauffele … On a lesser scale, he’s executing with the kind of mold-breaking form with which Jon Rahm crashed onto the PGA TOUR. Schauffele’s latest example occurred at TPC Sawgrass where he pieced together four good rounds for a share of second place. That’s the kind of thing that’s not supposed to happen for debutants on that course. The rise has been remarkable, too. At this time last year, the then-PGA TOUR rookie was outside the top 335 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Today, he’s 23rd. Adam Hadwin … The 30-year-old Canuck was the last man cut from the Power Rankings. He’s in his fourth consecutive start at Colonial with a T5 (2015) and T22 (2016) already on the books. He’s properly skilled to navigate the relatively short track; in fact, his tee-to-green work is vastly improved over previous seasons. And he’s connected 17 straight paydays to share the lead on TOUR in that quantifiable measurement of confidence. Steve Stricker … Think he made a wise choice to stick with his commitment to the PGA TOUR Champions’ first major of the year? To wit, he shared runner-up honors at the Regions Tradition after opting for that event over the AT&T Byron Nelson. Now the PGA TOUR wins his appearance over the KitchenAid Senior PGA Championship this week. Expect another smart decision to play out. The 2009 champ at Colonial padded a sparkling record here with a T7 last year. Emiliano Grillo (all) Charley Hoffman (all) Si Woo Kim (DFS) Pat Perez (SERVPRO) Scott Piercy (DFS) Rory Sabbatini (DFS) Kevin Streelman (DFS) Fades Aaron Wise … This is by rule times two. For one, he’s a first-timer at Colonial. The learning curve must be respected. He’s also fresh off his breakthrough victory. The predictable letdown deserves time and space. Ryan Palmer … If you polled the locals asking who they wanted to see win the Fort Worth Invitational, he’d probably garner an overwhelming majority of votes. You already know that he’s a member at Colonial, but this is his 15th consecutive appearance since his rookie season of 2004. He’s contended and even came within a whiff of victory two years ago, but he’s yet to pose for pictures wearing the plaid jacket. Alas, if it happens this year, it would be a surprise given lackluster form upon arrival. In the vacuum of last week, he set up wonderfully yet missed the cut by three shots. Louis Oosthuizen … For a major champion as consistently strong as he’s been (when healthy), he has not connected with success at Colonial. Since a personal-best T19 in 2012, he’s gone T38-WD-MC. He also missed the cut in his last two starts entering this week. Cameron Smith … In due time, he’ll be a weapon almost everywhere, but the Aussie’s profile doesn’t match up well to Colonial. Not yet, at least. The brush stroke is that he prefers to hit it long and salvage what he can around and on greens. Colonial requires finesse and course management. Trap. Brandt Snedeker … Puts to test the value of success at Colonial. He’s perfect in seven trips with a T2 (2015) and another pair of top 20s, but he arrives having missed three straight cuts. If there’s a silver lining, it’s that the Snedeker Foundation is the benefactor of this week’s Nashville Golf Open on the Web.com Tour for the second straight year. So, even if he doesn’t win in Texas, his charity wins in Tennessee. Sam Burns … With potentially only two more PGA TOUR starts this season, the pressure is on to perform at Colonial where he’s making his debut. His better fit will be at next week’s Memorial where his game off the tee and putting should pay dividends. Austin Cook Bill Haas Russell Henley Martin Laird Andrew Landry William McGirt Trey Mullinax Joaquin Niemann Returning to Competition Sean O’Hair … Presents as an intriguing option given his T2 at Colonial last year but coming off a withdrawal during THE PLAYERS. He called it quits after one round. An explanation wasn’t released. The 35-year-old is worth the plunge, however. His form for most of 2018 has been solid and he knows Colonial well. Sneak him into a lineup in DFS. Grayson Murray … Walked off Trinity Forest during his second round with a sore back. The good news is that he’s ready to return this quickly. The bad news, at least relatively for our purposes, is that he’s a first-timer at Colonial. Paul Casey … Poised to compete in this week’s BMW PGA Championship. The Englishman last made headlines as a pre-tournament withdrawal from THE PLAYERS due to discomfort in his back. The following day (Wednesday, May 9), he wrote the following description of his condition on Instagram: “I’ve got sacroiliitis (inflammation of the SI joint) with a sprain of the ligament. Also muscle spasms and leg pain, possible due to the sciatic nerve getting trapped.” Given his value in every format, gamers are forced to remain patient. Notable WDs Charl Schwartzel … Broke the tape on his mad dash to qualify for the U.S. Open with a T2 at THE PLAYERS, so he can enjoy a respite. His long-term investors also have been given the freedom to exhale. Currently 61st in FedExCup points. Peter Uihlein … With a T5 at Wells Fargo, the rookie positioned himself to qualify for the U.S. Open, which he did with a T21 at Trinity Forest after which he fell only two spots to 59th in the Official World Golf Ranking. He’s already exempt into The Open Championship and will eventually gain entry into the PGA Championship. Despite his worldly experience, it’s still an impressive membership debut for the 28-year-old. For many, his season has done nothing more than fulfill the baseline of expectations, but like all PGA TOUR rookies, he’s still had to execute on several courses he’s never seen or still learning all the while juggling all of the other challenges that go with navigating this circuit. Keith Mitchell … Figuring it out quickly. Since his runner-up performance at Corales, he’s 6-for-7 with a trio of top-fix finishes. The rookie’s T3 at Trinity Forest vaulted him to 57th in the FedExCup standings. Power Rankings Recap – AT&T Byron Nelson Power Ranking  Golfer  Result 1  Jordan Spieth  T21 2  Jimmy Walker  T6 3  Marc Leishman  2nd 4  Billy Horschel  T21 5  Matt Kuchar  MC 6  Beau Hossler  T32 7  Adam Scott  T9 8  Martin Laird  MC 9  Charles Howell III  T9 10  Ryan Palmer  MC 11  Branden Grace  T3 12  Daniel Summerhays  MC 13  Peter Uihlein  T21 14  Andrew Putnam  T42 15  Stephan Jaeger  MC Wild Card  Sergio Garcia  MC Sleepers Recap – AT&T Byron Nelson Golfer  Result Joel Dahmen  T16 Russell Knox  T16 Keith Mitchell  T3 Johnson Wagner  T32 Richy Werenski  MC Birthdays among active golfers on the PGA TOUR May 22 … Scott Brown (35); Jason Kokrak (33); Dominic Bozzelli (27) May 23 … none May 24 … Bill Haas (36) May 25 … Rafa Cabrera Bello (34); Tom Hoge (29) May 26 … none May 27 … none May 28 … Jeff Overton (35)

Click here to read the full article…