Day: August 9, 2022

Five Things to Know before FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipFive Things to Know before FedEx St. Jude Championship

GERMANTOWN, Tenn. – The top performers on the PGA TOUR this season will tee it up in the FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind beginning Thursday, the start of a three-week stretch that will determine the FedExCup champion. Scottie Scheffler, the favorite to win it all, has been the man out front almost all year, building a large lead with his four wins, including the Masters. He could become the FedExCup champ just two years after he was the PGA TOUR’s Rookie of the Year. Joohyung (Tom) Kim and Max McGreevy played their way in just last week, finishing first and T5, respectively, at the Wyndham Championship. From the bubble boys to the Presidents Cup permutations, here’s Five Things to Know before the FedExCup Playoffs get underway. 1. SCHEFFLER IN THE DRIVER’S SEAT Scheffler moved to No. 1 in the FedExCup with his victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard in early March, has stayed there ever since, and is coming off a three-week break after The Open Championship (T21). With four victories among his nine top-10 finishes, including his Masters win, he has racked up 3,556 FedExCup points and is 1,221 ahead of Cameron Smith, whose own impressive season features wins at the Sentry Tournament of Champions (where he shot the lowest score in relation to par in TOUR history), THE PLAYERS and The Open at St. Andrews. Scheffler’s best bud on TOUR, Sam Burns, is 1,281 points back after his own three-win campaign. Xander Schauffele also has three wins this season but is still 1,403 points behind Scheffler. As impressive as his season has been, Scheffler’s FedExCup lead isn’t safe. With points being quadrupled in the Playoffs, victories in each of the next two weeks are worth 2,000 points. The FedExCup leader at the TOUR Championship will start with a two-stroke lead under the unique Starting Strokes format. “Honestly, you probably want to be Scottie Scheffler right now,” said Tony Finau, who is coming off back-to-back wins at the 3M Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic, moving him up to FedExCup No. 7. “You are controlling the whole FedExCup.” Still, players like Finau have a chance, even if he is 1,644 points behind the leader. “I think now a win for some of those guys would help them pass me if I didn’t play so good this week,” said Scheffler, who was 14th in his last start at TPC Southwind, the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational last summer. “But I still have a pretty strong lead even with the points being magnified now in the Playoffs, so if I continue to play good golf, I should have a lead going into East Lake, which is definitely a good position to be in.” It’s already been a fruitful year for Scheffler, who has earned more than $13 million to break Jordan Spieth’s record for single-season earnings (not including FedExCup bonus money). Another $18 million would come Scheffler’s way if he’s still atop the FedExCup standings at season’s end. 2. ON THE LINE Rory McIlroy is sixth in the FedExCup and coming off a break following his third-place finish in The Open. Most players would be thrilled to have played so well in the majors. In addition to contending at St. Andrews, where he held the 54-hole lead but couldn’t buy a putt in the final round and was passed by Smith, McIlroy was second at the Masters, eighth at the PGA Championship and T5 at the U.S. Open. McIlroy has high standards, however, and the fact is he ran his majorless streak to 31. Now, though, his opportunity to make history could serve as some consolation; no player, not even Tiger Woods, has won the FedExCup three times. Patrick Cantlay goes into the Playoffs at FedExCup No. 5. No player has ever successfully defended his FedExCup title, but with a TOUR-leading 10 top-10 finishes this season, including a victory with partner Xander Schauffele at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, Cantlay is in the mix to do just that. If he gets hot like he did last summer, watch out. He’ll also be looking for his first individual victory of the season. Tony Finau, who won the 3M Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic, will look to make it three wins in three starts this week. That would make him the hottest player since Scheffler won four times in six starts in the spring. Also, Finau has unfinished business at TPC Southwind, where he admittedly hasn’t played well – his best is a T27 in 2019. Then there’s Collin Morikawa, who’s looking to win in the Playoffs to avoid the first winless season of his career. Former Wake Forest teammates Cameron Young and Will Zalatoris also will be looking to nab a win before season’s end. Each is seeking his maiden victory after knocking on the door multiple times this season, including close calls at the majors. Scheffler (Masters), Smith (The Open), Justin Thomas (PGA Championship) and Matt Fitzpatrick (U.S. Open) would love to cap their major-winning campaigns with the FedExCup. 3. AWARDS SEASON In case you were wondering, yes, Joohyung “Tom” Kim, who opened with a quadruple bogey and closed with a 9-under 61 to win the Wyndham Championship – by a gaudy five shots, no less – is eligible for the 2022 Arnold Palmer Award as PGA TOUR Rookie of the Year. That makes five rookies in the top 40 of the FedExCup standings — Cameron Young (No. 9), Davis Riley (No. 23), Tom Kim (No. 34), Mito Pereira (No. 38) and Sahith Theegala (No. 39) – and a tight race for top rookie honors. “Yeah, I still can’t really wrap my head around of just what happened,” Kim said Tuesday in Memphis. “It’s been – it’s been a crazy month. Start of July I was planning on trying to get my card through Korn Ferry (Tour) Finals and now one month later I’m a PGA TOUR winner.” With seven top-3s, including a runner-up to Cameron Smith at The Open and a T3 at the PGA Championship, Young is believed to be the frontrunner. That would be fitting: Will Zalatoris, who was one year ahead of Young at Wake Forest, won the honor last season. While nabbing the award out of Young’s hands would be a tough task, the strong fields of the FedExCup Playoffs make it possible, as a win or even high finishes in all three would surely make a statement to a player’s peers, who are the voters for the award. The Playoffs also will bring clarity to the Player of the Year race. Scheffler is the favorite, of course, but Smith could surpass him with a strong sprint to the finish. Same for Thomas and Fitzpatrick, who’d have a strong case if they had both a major and the FedExCup on their CV. 4. CUP CALL Players have this week and next to automatically make the U.S. Presidents Cup Team that will take on the International Team at Charlotte’s Quail Hollow Club on Sept. 22-25. It’s no easy task; only six players will make it on points after next week’s BMW Championship, the second event of the FedExCup Playoffs. After that, U.S. Captain Davis Love III will make his six picks the day after the TOUR Championship, Aug. 29. Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Sam Burns, Xander Schauffele and Justin Thomas occupy the top five spots in the standings and would seem to be a lock. Tony Finau won the 3M Open and Rocket Mortgage Classic to move into the sixth position and has said he wants to make the team on points, not as a captain’s pick. The next six after that: Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, Max Homa, Will Zalatoris, Billy Horschel, and Cameron Young. Who will get the call? Homa won the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow and is having a nice year. Young, while playing with Love at the recent Rocket Mortgage Classic, tied the course record with a 63. Love has spoken admiringly of the sound the ball makes coming off Zalatoris’ clubs. Meanwhile, Kevin Kisner (15th), Keegan Bradley (18th), and Maverick McNealy (19th) are among those outside the top 12 who have great match-play pedigree and could make a late run. The International Team’s eight automatic qualifiers also will be determined after the BMW, with four Captain’s Picks coming Aug. 29. The top eight in the current standings, which are based on the Official World Golf Ranking, are Cameron Smith, Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im, Joaquin Niemann, Joohyung Kim, Corey Conners, Mito Pereira and Adam Scott. That leaves players like two-time AT&T Byron Nelson champ K.H. Lee; former Presidents Cup participants Adam Hadwin, Marc Leishman, Anirban Lahiri and Si Woo Kim; and former TOUR winners Sebastian Munoz, Mackenzie Hughes and Lucas Herbert jockeying for the four picks. 5. BUBBLE BOYS In addition to the fight for the FedEx St. Jude Championship trophy we’ll see a battle to get into (or remain) in the top 70 of the FedExCup standings to qualify for next week’s BMW Championship. Those on the bubble include … No. 67 John Huh, the onetime PGA TOUR Rookie of the Year who finished T2 at the Wyndham Championship last week, his best finish in a decade. No. 70 Trey Mullinax, who captured his first TOUR title at the Barbasol Championship earlier this summer and was striping it in a practice round with Rickie Fowler and Justin Thomas, his former Alabama teammate, on Tuesday. No. 71 Brandon Wu, a rookie who finished T8 at the Wyndham Championship in addition to two top-3 finishes this season. No. 75 Chad Ramey, who captured his first TOUR title this season at the Corales Puntacana Championship.

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Statistically Speaking: FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipStatistically Speaking: FedEx St. Jude Championship

The first of three FedExCup Playoffs events tees off this week at TPC Southwind in the Memphis suburbs. A field of 121 (four players missing through injury, not replaced) will tangle with Ron Prichard’s 1988 design. There only job this week is to be in the top 70 on the FedExCup Points Lists when the final scorecards are signed on Sunday night. Those finishing No. 71 to No. 121 will not join the remaining folks as they head to Wilmington Country Club (South Course) for the BMW Championship. Before dreams of Delaware dance through the heads of the competitors it’s time to tame TPC Southwind. The Par-70 stretches just over 7,200 yards but length isn’t the issue this week. Fairways are tight and heavily protected by water, sand and Bermuda rough. The putting surfaces are no picnic either as they are some of the smallest on TOUR. Let’s take a look at the key stats to dissect this week and who is set to contend accordingly. Key Statistics Only players listed are competing this week; click stat headline for full list Strokes Gained: Tee to Green Before last season seven of the last nine winners here led the field in this category. The 2021 winner, Abraham Ancer (not eligible) was fourth last season. Keeping the ball out of trouble off the tee and on the short grass in regulation is paramount this week. Since 2003 TPC Southwind has ranked in top five for balls in the water. Bogey Avoidance Knowing when to take your medicine will not hurt on a course where balls find the rough and water at an alarming rate. Standing on the gas pedal for 72 holes isn’t the formula here. Avoiding crooked numbers takes the pressure off of racking up birdies. Par is a decent score this week but over par rounds are trouble. The last three winners have made six or less bogeys for the week. Strokes Gained: Approach the Green The only winners in the last six finishing outside the top 10 in this category were 11th and 12th. Finding fairways is fantastic this week but pegging approaches from less-than-ideal conditions is huge. Players who can navigate the golf ball into tiny greens will be rewarded. So will those who take advantage of wedges from the middle of the sprinkler line. Get it closer. Make more putts. Par-4 Scoring It’s not the U.S. Open so scoring still matters. With 10 Par-4 holes on the card the last four winners have slotted T3-T2-1-1 in this category. If you were paying attention above you’ll notice Justin Thomas, Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele feature in all four key stats. Thomas is paying +1800 for a win at BetMGM Sportsbook as is Schauffele with Finau starting at +2200. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Aug. 2, 2022. For live odds, visit BetMGM.

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The statistics behind Scottie Scheffler’s incredible seasonThe statistics behind Scottie Scheffler’s incredible season

Scottie Scheffler hadn’t won, then he had, and then he couldn’t stop winning. He won on the West Coast Swing (WM Phoenix Open); in the Southeast (Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard); and close to home (World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play). And then, of course, he won the Masters Tournament, his fourth title in a dizzying six-week stretch. “I don’t know what to say, to be honest with you guys,” he said after donning the green jacket and sitting with the media. “I’m just really thankful to be in this position. You know, I didn’t get to the press room in my dreams, so you guys are going to have to ask me some questions.” Here’s a question: How did this happen? Two things stand out. Scheffler has pelted a ridiculous number of greens in regulation (72.2%) this season, leading the PGA TOUR in that category. The other big factor, maybe the biggest, was the addition of caddie Ted Scott late last year. Scheffler had no experience winning anything, let alone the Masters, but Scott, who’d been on the bag for two victories at Augusta National, had course knowledge to burn. Together they form a formidable team. That is confirmed by the fact that Scheffler won the Aon Risk-Reward Challenge, the season-long competition that highlights golf’s best decision makers by rewarding the players who perform the best on the TOUR’s most strategic holes. No one has changed the trajectory of his career more than Scheffler this season. In the blink of an eye, he went from winless to No. 1 in the FedExCup and Official World Golf Ranking. (He’s still tops in both by a fair margin.) He also has three runner-up finishes, including a playoff loss to his friend Sam Burns at the Charles Schwab Challenge. To be fair, Scheffler had a lot going on that week; he attended his sister-in-law’s wedding immediately after the tournament. As the FedExCup Playoffs begin, here’s a look at the statistics that tell the story behind his climb to becoming this season’s top decision maker and 2022 Aon Risk Reward Challenge champion: -0.97: Scheffler’s average score in relation to par on Aon Risk-Reward Challenge holes. His average was 0.05 strokes lower in average relation to par than No. 2 Cameron Smith, winner of this year’s PLAYERS and The Open. 1: Scheffler is the only player to rank in the top 10 of par-3, par-4 and par-5 scoring average, illustrating his well-rounded game that allowed him to win on a variety of courses. 11: Birdies for Scheffler on the Aon Risk-Reward Challenge’s par-4s, the most of anyone in the competition and a result of his knowing when to play aggressively. He went for the green 89% of the time on the Aon Risk-Reward Challenge’s par-4s, tied for the highest rate of anyone on TOUR this season. 69.8%: Scheffler has gained nearly 70% of his strokes on the Aon Risk-Reward Challenge holes with his short game (Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and Putting), a statistical corollary to the improvements he made in both of those facets of his game this season. Scheffler jumped from outside the top 100 in Strokes Gained: Putting in 2021 to 36th in 2022. On average, Scheffler gained about one-tenth of a stroke per AON Risk-Reward Challenge hole on shots around-the-green over his competition – a number that added up over the course of the season. 13.6%: Scheffler’s improved performance around and on the greens also led to a steep decrease in the number of bogeys he is making per round. Scheffler ranked a respectable 62nd on the PGA TOUR in bogey avoidance in 2020-21, but catapulted into the top 20 in that stat this season. Scheffler has made 60 fewer bogeys this season than he had entering the FedExCup Playoffs in 2021. 72.2%: Scottie Scheffler’s TOUR-leading greens hit percentage. He improved from 83rd in Strokes Gained: Approach last season to sixth in 2022. Scheffler and Hideki Matsuyama are the only two players on the PGA TOUR this season to rank in the top 20 in both average proximity from the fairway and from the rough. 1991: Scheffler’s next stop after claiming the top position in the OWGR? The Masters, of course, where he picked up his first major championship victory. Scheffler was the second player in OWGR history to make his first start as No. 1 at Augusta National. Incredibly, the only other man to do it – Ian Woosnam in 1991 – also won the green jacket. Scheffler became the first player since Arnold Palmer in 1960 to leave Augusta with four PGA TOUR wins, including the Masters, in that season. 2: In addition to Scheffler’s four victories, he’s also finished runner-up three times this season on the PGA TOUR, including at the U.S. Open. Scheffler is the eighth player since 2000 to have seven or more top-two finishes in a single PGA TOUR season. The last player to do that and not win PGA TOUR Player of the Year was Vijay Singh in 2003, who was edged out by Woods for the honor. 50: Scheffler has no glaring weakness in his game, a fact clearly articulated by Strokes Gained metrics. This season, Scheffler is ranked in the top 50 in all four of the key Strokes Gained disciplines: Off-the-Tee, Approach the Green, Around the Green and Putting. Only four other players share that distinction in 2021-22: Patrick Cantlay, Rory McIlroy, Matt Fitzpatrick and Xander Schauffele.

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