Day: May 27, 2022

Cut prediction: Charles Schwab ChallengeCut prediction: Charles Schwab Challenge

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +0.78 strokes per round Morning wave: +0.87 Afternoon wave: +0.7 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 79 players at +1 or better (T57) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 1 over par: 40.5% 2. E: 31.8% 3. 2 over par: 16.9% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Scottie Scheffler (T1, -4, 15.8%) 2. Chris Kirk (T1, -4, 9.5%) 3. Harold Varner III (T1, -4, 6.8%) 4. Webb Simpson (T1, -4, 5.0%) 5. Kevin Na (T9, -3, 4.5%) 6. Cameron Davis (T1, -4, 3.6%) 7. Patrick Reed (T1, -4, 3.6%) 8. Jordan Spieth (T26, -1, 3.5%) 9. Nick Taylor (T1, -4, 3.0%) 10. Viktor Hovland (T26, -1, 2.3%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Charles Schwab Challenge, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Scott Stallings starts strong at Charles Schwab Challenge after emotional U.S. Open qualificationScott Stallings starts strong at Charles Schwab Challenge after emotional U.S. Open qualification

FORT WORTH — Scott Stallings has seen some birdie putts fall this week in Texas. He saw eight of them Thursday in the first round of the Charles Schwab Challenge, where he shot 3-under 67 to end in a share of seventh. He took only 26 putts on a warm and breezy afternoon at Colonial Country Club. Some of them he would like to have back. “Made a lot of birdies,” Stallings said. “Made a lot of bogeys.” (Five, to be exact.) “Part of it, man,” he said. Also part of it: making birdies when they really matter personally. Stallings watched plenty of those Monday in Dallas, where he shot 8 under in a U.S. Open qualifier at Lakewood CC and Royal Oaks CC. His solo 11th-place finish got him into the season’s third major at The Country Club outside Boston. He tweeted a photograph of his official notification from the USGA and added: “This one means a little bit more.” “That day was something I had circled,” Stallings said Thursday. The U.S. Open represents a homecoming for the three-time PGA TOUR winner. He was born in Worcester, Massachusetts, less than an hour from Brookline. He left as a youth and now lives in Tennessee. But he has family there, he said, and he looks forward to playing in front of them in June. “That was probably my biggest goal of the year, to play the U.S. Open,” Stallings said. “That’s somewhere that’s near and dear to my heart.”

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