Day: December 5, 2020

Win probabilities: Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFINWin probabilities: Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN

2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Emiliano Grillo (1, -13, 45.1%) 2. Tony Finau (T2, -9, 10.7%) 3. Tom Hoge (T2, -9, 5.9%) 4. Russell Knox (4, -8, 4.6%) 5. Joel Dahmen (T5, -7, 4.1%) 6. Viktor Hovland (T9, -6, 3.9%) 7. Brendon Todd (T9, -6, 3.0%) 8. Kyle Stanley (T5, -7, 2.4%) 9. Joaquin Niemann (T9, -6, 2.1%) 10. Corey Conners (T18, -5, 1.8%) Highest cut probabilities that missed cut: 1. Michael Gligic (started Friday at -4; 92.2% to make cut) 2. Harry Higgs (-3; 91.8%) 3. Ryan Armour (-2; 86.4%) 4. Rickie Fowler (-1; 94.3%) 5. Brooks Koepka (Even; 74.7%) Lowest cut probabilities that made cut: 1. Brice Garnett (started Friday at +3; 24% to make cut) 2. Rafael Campos (+1; 24.5%) 3. Ben Taylor (+1; 25.4%) 4. Max Homa (+2; 32.1%) 5. Sepp Straka (+2; 33.2%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live "Make Cut", "Top 20", "Top 5", and "Win" probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN, or to see how each golfer's probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model's home page.

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Emiliano Grillo shoots 63, leads by four at Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFINEmiliano Grillo shoots 63, leads by four at Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN

PLAYA DEL CARMEN, Mexico — Emiliano Grillo made birdie on half of the holes Friday on his way to an 8-under 63 that gave him a four-shot lead going into the weekend at the Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN. RELATED: Leaderboard | Bhatia proving he belongs The second round was delayed by one hour by heavy rain in the morning, and it was not completed before it was too dark to continue. No one was close enough to catch Grillo, who was at 13-under 130. It will be only the fifth time in 136 starts on the PGA TOUR that he has a share of the lead after any round. Tony Finau one-putted six consecutive holes in the middle of his round, four of them par saves and none tap-ins, and posted a 66. He was at 9-under 133, along with Tom Hoge, who had a 67. Justin Thomas was zooming into contention with five birdies and an eagle through 12 holes. His momentum stalled, however, particularly with bogeys on his last two holes. Thomas had to settle for a 67 and was nine shots behind. But he’s still playing, which won’t be the case for Rickie Fowler and Brooks Koepka. Fowler was in position for an easy birdie on the par-5 13th hole when he sent a long iron well to the right into the trees for a lost ball. That led to bogey, and he dropped another shot on the 17th that led to a 1-over 72. The cut would not be made until Saturday, though Fowler looked certain to miss by one shot. With no events left this year, Fowler is likely to fall out of the top 50 in the world for the first time since 2010, his first full year on the PGA TOUR. He still is not eligible for the Masters next April, though he would have three months at the start of next year to either win or get into the top 50 by the end of March. Koepka, coming off a pair of top 10s in the Houston Open and the Masters, had another 71 and finished at even-par 142. He was in reasonable shape until three-putting from about 8 feet on the par-5 fifth hole for a bogey, his 14th of the round. He made birdie on the par-3 eighth, but will miss by one shot. Among those still on the course was former U.S. Amateur champion Andy Ogletree, who turned pro after finishing low amateur at the Masters. Ogletree was at 7 under with three holes remaining. Grillo made five birdies on the front nine to catch Finau and Hoge, who played in the morning. After a bogey at No. 10, the Argentine hit his stride with his great iron play and ran off three straight birdies. As it began to get dark, Grillo stuffed a wedge into about 4 feet on the 17th for his ninth birdie of the round, and he elected to finish the 18th after the horn sounded to stop play because of darkness. Russell Knox, who had the 18-hole lead after a 65, shot a 69 and was alone in fourth at 8-under 134. The group one shot further back included Kyle Stanley and Joel Dahmen, each with a 67, and Aaron Wise (68). Finau has been among the top 20 in the world dating to August 2018, even though his lone victory on the PGA TOUR remains the Puerto Rico Open in 2016. "I learned this game doesn’t owe you anything. You’ve got too earn everything you have, earn all your wins,” Finau said. “It’s been a long time coming I feel like for (win) No. 2. Hopefully, it happens here in a couple of days. Steve Stricker, the 53-year-old Ryder Cup captain, shot 70 and was at 3-under 139. It was the sixth time in 12 starts on the PGA TOUR that he made the cut. Carlos Ortiz, playing for the first time since the Mexican earned his first PGA TOUR title in the Vivint Houston Open last month, had a 68 and was six shots behind.

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Grillo shoot 64 to build 3-shot lead at Mayakoba ClassicGrillo shoot 64 to build 3-shot lead at Mayakoba Classic

Emiliano Grillo made birdie on half of the holes Friday on his way to an 8-under 63 that gave him a three-shot lead going into the weekend at the Mayakoba Golf Classic. No one was close enough to catch Grillo, who was at 12-under 130. It will be only the fifth time in 136 starts on the PGA Tour that he has a share of the lead after any round.

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Akshay Bhatia proving he belongs with strong start in MexicoAkshay Bhatia proving he belongs with strong start in Mexico

PLAYA DEL CARMEN, Mexico - Akshay Bhatia won't reach legal drinking age in the United States until January 31, 2023. But he's quickly proving that he's of age to contend on the PGA TOUR. The 18-year-old Monday qualified into this week's Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN, and he's maximizing his opportunity. Bhatia has opened in rounds of 67-69 at El Camaleon GC, comfortably inside the top-15 midway through the final full-field TOUR event of the 2020 calendar year. There was a learning curve for Bhatia, to be sure. He missed the cut in his first seven TOUR starts, admitting that urgency to earn Special Temporary Membership was too much of a focal point. Bhatia made his first TOUR cut at the Safeway Open in September, finishing T9. A weight was lifted, and he's continuing to display his immense potential in Mexico. "After that, I felt like I belonged," said Bhatia of the significance around his Safeway Open top-10. "It showed I could play, that I could score well. I feel like I'm doing everything right as far as practice ... I feel like my good is good enough, and that I can compete out here. So it's just a matter of time. "I'm excited to keep playing out here, and for the opportunities that I've gotten." After turning professional in fall 2019, Bhatia missed by six strokes at Second Stage of the Korn Ferry Tour Qualifying Tournament last fall. Then the COVID-19 pandemic hit, putting on hold his efforts of earning TOUR and Korn Ferry Tour starts via Monday qualifiers. There may have been a silver lining, though. Bhatia carved out a mini-tour schedule that extended through the summer months, building confidence by stacking low rounds. While several his age are debating their college choices, Bhatia is developing a veteran mindset in the professional golf ranks. "I haven't really thought about it," said Bhatia when asked whether Special Temporary Membership has been on his mind this week. "Any chance I get to play the PGA TOUR, I'm just going to try to play as well as I can. "If you asked me that last year, I would've been thinking about that a lot, and it's just amazing how much experience can change perspective over a year. Being 18, it's helped me a lot versus 17." Bhatia was born in southern California and now lives in the Raleigh, North Carolina area, where he plays out of TPC Wakefield Plantation. There, he has cultivated a frequent practice-round grouping with TOUR winners Chesson Hadley and Grayson Murray, as well as Korn Ferry Tour pro Stephen Franken. He's learning the value placed on low scores in professional golf - noting the confidence gained via carding rounds of 62 and 63 in mini-tour events this summer - and embracing lessons shared by his veteran practice partners. "It's fun just having a good, solid group of guys that like to play and can help each other out with experience," Bhatia said. "I had a really good summer in mini-tour events and just learning how to be in contention, how to shoot low ... and that's what you have to do out here." Bhatia could earn TOUR Special Temporary Membership (which brings the ability to accept unlimited sponsor's exemptions) by accruing 288 non-member FedExCup Points - the equivalent of No. 150 on the 2018-19 FedExCup standings. He earned 70 non-member Points via his Safeway Open finish, and could move further toward the mark with a strong weekend in Mexico. He's no longer thinking along those lines, though. He's enjoying the competition amongst the mangroves at El Camaleon GC, and looking forward to the weekend ahead. "I've got to say," Bhatia said, "it's pretty fun being able to compete with these guys."

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