Day: September 6, 2020

Daniel Berger might not win the FedEx Cup, but as for getting in the Masters … you’re saying there is a chance?Daniel Berger might not win the FedEx Cup, but as for getting in the Masters … you’re saying there is a chance?

He’s not in the Masters field, despite being sixth in FedEx Cup points and 13th in the world. His people reached out, and the folks at Augusta National didn’t say yes to a special exemption — but they didn’t say no, either.

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What happened? Rory explains his second shot on 18What happened? Rory explains his second shot on 18

ATLANTA - What are the odds? The odds that Rory McIlroy's second shot would find that little lake, the one that so many golf balls fly easily over during the TOUR Championship. I'm glad you asked. RELATED: Full leaderboard | Leaders struggle, set up FedExCup sprint | JT thrives in pursuer role It turns out that just 1.2% of second shots on East Lake's 18th hole (formerly the ninth) are hit into the water. The hole has been played 1,947 times in the ShotLink era (since 2004). McIlroy's was just the 23rd second shot to find the water. McIlroy topped his second shot. It traveled less than 30 yards before nose-diving into the water. So, what happend? We'll let McIlroy take it from here. He was gracious enough to speak to the media after making that mistake on his final hole of the day. Here's what he had to say: "The lie was sort of iffy. My biggest concern was trying to carry the first bunker on the right there, and I knew I needed to hit it really hard and I swung hard at it, and I got it maybe like right in the middle of the ball. ... I felt like if I tried to sweep it, it would be better, and I just sort of came up on it a little bit. "Probably in hindsight trying to take on a little bit too much. So yeah, and then it would have been nice to get away with a par. It wasn’t to be." McIlroy made bogey on 18, as did playing partner Justin Thomas. There has been just one other bogey on that reachable par-5 this week. McIlroy shot 71 on Saturday after signing for Friday's low round, a 6-under 64. He will start the third round five shots behind leader Dustin Johnson. McIlroy is trying to become the first player to successfully defend the FedExCup and first player to win it three times.

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Daniel Berger might not win the FedEx Cup, but getting in the Masters … so you’re saying there is a chanceDaniel Berger might not win the FedEx Cup, but getting in the Masters … so you’re saying there is a chance

He’s not in the Masters field, despite being sixth in FedEx Cup points and 13th in the world. His people reached out, and the folks at Augusta National didn’t say yes to a special exemption — but they didn’t say no, either.

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Win probabilities: TOUR ChampionshipWin probabilities: TOUR Championship

2020 TOUR Championship, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: Dustin Johnson (1, -13, 32.7%) Xander Schauffele (3, -11, 18.0%)\ Sungjae Im (2, -12, 14.5%) Justin Thomas (4, -10, 10.6%) Jon Rahm (T5, -9, 9.0%) Collin Morikawa (T5, -9, 4.5%) Rory McIlroy (T8, -8, 4.0%) Tyrrell Hatton (T5, -9, 2.9%) Brendon Todd (T8, -8, 1.2%) Patrick Reed (T11, -6, 0.5%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Sebastian Munoz +4.6 Around the Green: Mackenzie Hughes +1.5 Approach the Green: Sungjae Im +4.3 Off-the-tee: Lanto Griffin +1.4 Total: Sungjae Im +5.3 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live "Make Cut", "Top 20", "Top 5", and "Win" probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the TOUR Championship, or to see how each golfer's probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model's home page.

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