Day: August 17, 2019

Win probabilities: BMW ChampionshipWin probabilities: BMW Championship

2019 BMW Championship, End of Round 2. Top 10 win probabilities: Patrick Cantlay (T2, -11, 18.6%) Hideki Matsuyama (1, -12, 18.1%) Tony Finau (T2, -11, 10.9%) Justin Thomas (4, -10, 10.8%) Rory McIlroy (T11, -8, 6%) Xander Schauffele (T5, -9, 4.8%) Rory Sabbatini (T5, -9, 3.3%) Jon Rahm (T15, -7, 3.2%) Chez Reavie (T5, -9, 3.1%) Tommy Fleetwood (T11, -8, 3.1%) Top 5 FedExCup Win Probabilities: Rory McIlroy: 19.2% Brooks Koepka: 15.6% Patrick Cantlay: 13.8% Jon Rahm: 8.1% Justin Thomas: 6.1% NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the BMW Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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