Day: July 26, 2019

Win probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude InvitationalWin probabilities: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, End of Round 1. Top 10 win probabilities: Jon Rahm (1, -8, 31.5%) Patrick Cantlay (T2, -5, 12.3%) Hideki Matsuyama (T2, -5, 8.4%) Justin Rose (T13, -3, 4.1%) Bubba Watson (T2, -5, 2.8%) Bryson DeChambeau (T13, -3, 2.7%) Rory McIlroy (T24, -1, 2.7%) Tyrrell Hatton (T7, -4, 2.6%) Justin Thomas (T18, -2, 2.6%) Brooks Koepka (T18, -2, 2.6%) Top strokes-gained performances: Putting: Jon Rahm +5.2 Around-the-green: Shugo Imahira +2.63 Approach: Justin Thomas +3.26 Off-the-tee: Dustin Johnson +2.16 Total: Jon Rahm +7.48 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

Click here to read the full article

Smith, Imahira eye Presidents Cup pushSmith, Imahira eye Presidents Cup push

MEMPHIS, Tenn. – Cameron Smith just needed a sense of urgency to hit him right in the face. Complacency can be a killer in all sports, and for the second season running, Smith had let a solid start to a season fade away with a quiet middle. Last year, Smith opened by making 10 of his first 11 cuts with five top-10 finishes. His next nine starts, however, yielded just four weekends, with a best finish of 23rd. But Smith thrives under the gun. With the FedExCup Playoffs approaching, Smith fired up and made his last four cuts of the year, including two top 10s. This season, Smith made his first nine cuts, with three top-10 results. He also defended his Australian PGA Championship title. But then, he missed five of his next 11 cuts, with a 29th place the high mark. The 25-year-old Australian then saw he’d slipped outside the automatic selection zone for the Presidents Cup at Royal Melbourne in December – where he hopes to make his International Team debut. He also noticed his FedExCup rank sliding ominously closer to the dreaded 125 mark. Cue the uptick in his performances. At The Open Championship Smith, finished 20th, but threatened the top 10 until wild weather hit Sunday. Proving it was no fluke, the former Zurich Classic of New Orleans winner opened the World Golf Championships – FedEx St. Jude Invitational on Thursday with a 5-under 65 to be tied second. He’s on pace to finish strong once more. “I like having a motive. Something to play for,â€� Smith admitted. “It has been a bit of a frustrating year. I’ve had a long middle of the season there, couldn’t really get much rolling. I was working hard and nothing was kind of going my way. “That’s just golf sometimes, you never really know what it’s going to throw at you. Keep grinding through it and the results will always be around the corner.â€� Smith’s finish a week ago moved him back to eighth in the Presidents Cup standings with just five weeks before the top eight secure spots for Melbourne. His destiny in his own hands. “My destiny has been in my own hands all year, but it is certainly a huge goal of mine to be on the Presidents Cup team,â€� Smith said. “I think I’ve played well enough to be on it. But now it’s up to me to make sure if it.â€� Sitting with Smith in a tie for second, three shots behind leader Jon Rahm, is Japan’s Shugo Imahira. Imahira sits 12th on the International team standings and also has desires to make it to Melbourne. The two-time Japan Tour winner has placed in the top 10 in his last five starts on his home Tour. “I haven’t been watching the standings too closely but I know a good performance this week could help my goal of making the team,â€� Imahira said through a translator. “It would be an honor to make it.â€�

Click here to read the full article