Day: September 7, 2018

Tire debacle at 2008 Brickyard 400: ‘Oh no, we’re in trouble’Tire debacle at 2008 Brickyard 400: ‘Oh no, we’re in trouble’

Doug Boles chats with IndyStar Motor Sports Insider Jim Ayello about this weekend’s Brickyard 400, Speedway, Tuesday, Sept. 4, 2018. INDIANAPOLIS — The 2008 Brickyard 400 was not like other NASCAR races at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Those races are typically defined by who won them – Jeff Gordon

Click here to read the full article

Emergency 9: BMW Championship, Round 2Emergency 9: BMW Championship, Round 2

Here are nine tidbits from the second round of the BMW Championship gamers can use tomorrow, this weekend or down the road. Aronimink Golf Club just outside Philadelphia plays 7,267 yards to Par-70. PAIN OR GAIN These were the top-10 selected golfers in the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO: A poor weather forecast forced tee times to start at 7 am in Round 2. The wet conditions overnight slowed the greens down and players had to adjust. The magic number in Round 2 was also 62 after a pair of them in Round 1. Remember, there isn’t a cut so everyone will have a chance in the final 36 holes to catch up. X Cellent After Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy flirted with 59 yesterday it’s hardly a surprise that not many noticed Xander Schauffele and his 63. Sure he was solo third but he didn’t belong on the same podium after 18 holes as the two legends. Friday he backed up his 63 with seven more birdies against just one bogey for 64 and a total of 127 (-13) for a two-shot lead over Justin Rose. His named was mentioned as a long-shot selection on the Ryder Cup team if he had a big week this week. He’s halfway home. People’s Choice Justin Rose has won on this course before when it hosted the AT&T National in 2010 and was T15 the following year. It’s hardly a secret that he loves golf in the Philadelphia area as he won the 2013 U.S. Open at Merion. The Englishman moved up 10 spots after signing for a bogey-free 63 to finish on 11-under. Rose has gained almost four shots on the field tee-to-green and four more around-the green. Imagine if he starts dialing in his irons! Rounds of the Day Kevin Na was all over my radar last week after three great rounds at Ridgewood to open the FedExCup Playoffs. His 70-75 MC last week was tough to take as were his five birdies and five bogeys to open Round 1. After a bogey-free 62 that included eight birdies, I’m fully back on board! Tying the course record after an even-par 70 didn’t even put him in the top 10. … Tommy Fleetwood also moved up 37 spots on the leaderboard after a bogey-free 62 that included eight birdies. Opening with 71, the Englishman needed a low one to get back into the mix and will start Round 2 T20. Trifecta Fantasy golf tests the patience of gamers and their beliefs. Bryson DeChambeau was looking to go where NOBODY has gone before in winning three consecutive FedExCup Playoff events this week. He still has a chance but he’s going to need to leapfrog 47 players who are ahead of him or share the same three-under total. Not much is going right this week as he’s in the bottom half of every Strokes-Gained category but the silver lining is he’s No. 1 in proximity. Wrong Hot Guy Gamers looking to ride the lava wave of heat from the first two FedExCup events had three choices, if available, this week. DeChambeau was the obvious but the only other players to hit the top 10 in the first two events were Cameron Smith and Tony Finau. Smith hit the podium in the first two events and caught the eye of many this week. He’s made three birdies this week and is T66 in a field of 69. The good news for investors this week is there isn’t a cut. Hi, Hideki The contrarians who chose not to saddle Hideki Matsuyama for his three-peat opportunity at TPC Scottsdale might just get their reward this week. I’ve pointed out over the last month that I thought he was close to popping but he’s just been a round short in each event. He’s off to a flying start as he backed up his opening-round 66 with seven birdies against only one bogey for 64 in Round 2. Sitting T3 and just three back, he needs a solid finish to hold his place in the Top 30. Sitting T3 and just three back, he should be concerned with winning the golf tournament. Bubble Boys What a difference a day makes! Two more to go! The top 30 will advance to the next round of the FedExCup Playoffs next week at East Lake Golf Club. Here’s how the guys under the gun are performing: Study Hall Round 1 played under-par at 68.130 (-1.870) with 48 of 69 rounds under-par. Round 2 checked in at 67.333 (-2.667) as only six players were above par. … After four bogey-free rounds Thursday the total bumped to 13 after Round 2. … Schauffele and Keegan Bradley (T3) have birdied 15 of the first 36 holes. … Of the top 10 players in Strokes-Gained: Approach-the-Green eight are T7 or better. The other two are T12.

Click here to read the full article

Win probability: BMW ChampionshipWin probability: BMW Championship

It is a star-studded first page of the leaderboard through two rounds at the BMW Championship. This should come as no surprise to anyone, given the strength of this field. Here are the top 10 win probabilities according to our model: Rose and Schauffele lead the way with 16 and 15 percent chances of winning, respectively. The model estimates Rose to be about 1 stroke better per round than Schauffele, and therefore we expect Rose to cover the 2 stroke deficit he currently faces. Sitting just outside this top 10 is Tiger Woods, who we estimate to have a 2.9 percent chance at victory. It is likely surprising to many readers that our model is giving Finau a slightly higher win probability than Woods. However, take a look at their respective finish probabilities for a Top 20 and Top 5 finish: Tiger has a significantly higher probability of finishing in the top 20 than Finau. Our model actually rates Tiger slightly better than Finau in terms of expected score, but Tiger has been incredibly consistent this year (i.e. he has had a low standard deviation in scores). As a result, the model gives Tiger slightly less upside than Finau. It’s worth noting that we don’t allow for big differences across players in their predicted standard deviations (because past standard deviation only weakly predicts future standard deviation), but Woods has been a big outlier over the past year. Finally, here is a strokes-gained breakdown of Tiger’s round on Friday: It was an abysmal day on the greens for Woods; he finished last in the field of 69 on Friday in strokes-gained: putting. Despite the disappointing second round, Woods is still in excellent shape to advance to the season-ending TOUR Championship: our model estimates his chances at 97 percent. NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The BMW Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

Click here to read the full article