Day: May 12, 2018

Simpson throws charge into TPC SawgrassSimpson throws charge into TPC Sawgrass

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. – You could slice and dice Webb Simpson’s 63 a number of different ways. He tied the course record (63), tied the tournament record with six straight birdies, tied the 36-hole record, and takes a record five-shot lead over Patrick Cantlay (68), Charl Schwartzel (66) and Danny Lee (66) into the weekend at THE PLAYERS Championship. But now what? Is the tournament over? Or is it just beginning? “I think, more than ever, it’s easier to be a chaser on today’s PGA TOUR in general,â€� said Adam Scott (68, 7-under), who is eight shots back. “The line between birdie and bogey is becoming finer, and when the leader has that pressure and makes an error, bogey is so much easier to make these days.â€� “Sure, he has to feel pretty good about where he is,â€� Scott continued, “but I had a seven-shot lead at Bay Hill a couple of years ago, and then it was down to three. And then you lose. There’s as much golf to be played as we’ve already played, so certainly he can be caught.â€� Only three players have taken a lead of three or more strokes into the weekend, and all have won: Lanny Wadkins (1979, at Sawgrass Country Club, three-shot lead); Greg Norman (1994, three shots); and Jason Day (2016, four shots). And to be sure, Simpson’s round was freaky good. Playing partner Tyrell Hatton asked if he could touch Simpson’s putter, and asked his caddie, Paul Tesori, “You remember Chevy Chase from Caddyshack?â€� Jhonattan Vegas, the third member of the group, admitted he became a fan, rooting for Simpson to break the course record. (Simpson hit into the water and double-bogeyed 17, then failed to birdie 18.) Jordan Spieth monitored the round from afar and marveled at how anyone could be 11-under through 16 holes. What’s more, Simpson is not an untested rookie but a four-time PGA TOUR winner and two-time Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup player. He’s 32, and came into this week enjoying a career revival (36th in the FedExCup) after switching to the claw putting grip exactly a year ago. But still. It’s TPC Sawgrass. It’s golf. And Simpson is one for 10 at converting 36-hole leads/co-leads into victories on TOUR. “If I can shoot 9-under today, a guy can go out and shoot 7-, 8-, 9-under tomorrow, and shrink it pretty quickly,â€� he said. “I think it’s a beautiful golf course in the sense that I could go shoot a few under tomorrow, because there’s birdie holes out there, but if you’re off a little bit, you make bogeys or double bogeys as easy as you can make birdies. I don’t think any lead is safe.â€� Few expected the leader to be 15-under, which tied Day in 2016 for low first 36 holes. But there it was, right there in lights on the course’s electronic scoreboards. “The most entertaining golf in our group was watching Webb’s score,â€� said Justin Rose (72, 4-under), who called it “a miracle roundâ€� and added that he’ll need to shoot one himself on the weekend if he’s going to have any kind of chance. Simpson wasn’t betting against it. “There’s no defensiveness in my game tomorrow,â€� he said. “I want to go out and hit a good drive on 1 and just keep the same game plan. The only time you really get defensive, I think, is the last two or three holes of a golf tournament.â€� OBSERVATIONS SCHWARTZEL HIRES SWING COACH. Since he won the 2011 Masters, Charl Schwartzel has won the 2016 Valspar Championship, plus six other tournaments in Europe and Asia. He just hadn’t done much in the last few years, and so Schwartzel, who had always relied on his father to coach him, hired an outside coach in Justin Parsons last November. So far, so good at TPC Sawgrass, as Schwartzel fired a second-round 66 to get to 10-under. “My last two years, maybe even two and a half years, have been pretty frustrating,â€� Schwartzel said. “But that’s attributed to bad positions in the golf swing, and that’s made the game very difficult for me. I employed a coach pretty much for the first time in my life. My dad used to always look after me, and it’s just — I just didn’t see him enough so I employed a coach in November, and it’s really worked out well so far.â€� The results weren’t immediate, but Schwartzel saw encouraging signs with a third-place finish at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans (with partner Louis Oosthuizen) and a T9 at the Wells Fargo Championship. He made six birdies and no bogeys Friday. CANTLAY MAKES FRIDAY A FIESTA. Patrick Cantlay’s shirt was festooned with tacos, sombreros, cacti, and whistles, and his clubs made plenty of noise, too. The UCLA product shot a second-round 68 to get to 10-under through two rounds, and would have gone bogey-free except for a bad break at the par-5 ninth hole. “I drove it left, which wasn’t a good shot,â€� said Cantlay, who is aiming for his second win of the year (Shriners Hospitals for Children Open). “But my shot coming out of the left trees, there was a stick right in front of my ball, and I couldn’t tell if I could [remove] it clean or not. “I made a really nice swing,â€� Cantlay added, “but I got all stick in front of the ball and it went in the water. I actually made — I actually felt like every swing I made except the tee shot was really good on that hole, and I got up-and-down for a 6.â€� FINAU ALL WET AT 17. Although there were plenty of birdies to be had, the course soaked an unlucky few, as always, none more so than Tony Finau (72, 2-under total). The long-hitting golfer from Utah was cruising along at 6-under when he came to the par-3 17th hole, where he hit two balls in the water and walked off with a quadruple-bogey 7. “I pulled the first one a little, and it landed right on the crest on that left side,â€� said Finau. “And it spun all the way into the water. I was on ground for eight seconds, you know? It was almost worse that way. It gives you so much hope. You’re like, It’s going to stop, it’s going to stop. “It even stopped on the board for a second,â€� Finau added. “So, that was kind of brutal. I went to the drop area and I pulled the next one, and it flew pin-high and one-hopped in the water. The pin was in the back, only four off the back. It can happen pretty fast like that.â€� Finau, who said the ankle he injured at the Masters is back to “probably 80 percent,â€� also made a double-bogey at the par-5 ninth hole after he couldn’t find his tee shot left of the fairway. He hit a provisional from the tee before being told that a kid had found the original ball, which had rolled into a hole next to the cart path. Finau’s topsy-turvy round also featured an eagle at the 16th hole NOTABLES JORDAN SPIETH – Bounced back with a 4-under 68 to get to 1-under for the tournament and make the cut. Spieth hadn’t made the cut here since a T4 in his first PLAYERS start in 2014, but now gets to play the weekend. “I’ll be going out early, so I don’t think I’ll get the teeth of the course,â€� he said. “It’s a good opportunity to maybe shoot a 6-, 7-under round, play fearlessly, attack par-5s … and then have a chance Sunday to back-door a top-10 or even a top-5 with a special weekend.â€� JUSTIN THOMAS – Shot a 2-under 70 to tie playing partner Spieth at 1-under through 36. RORY MCILROY – Double-bogeyed the 17th hole and shot 74 to finish 1-over, missing the cut for the first time since 2012. PATRICK REED – Masters champion made the cut with room to spare with a bogey-free, 4-under 68. Reed came to the PLAYERS on the heels of six consecutive top-10 finishes. TIGER WOODS – Faulted his lack of precision with the short irons, and didn’t putt particularly well, either. Still, he at least made the cut with a two-birdie, one-bogey 71 (1-under total), which was more than the other two guys in his group could say for themselves. PHIL MICKELSON – He made six birdies, a vast improvement over day one. Unfortunately, he also made five bogeys and a double-bogey for a 73 to finish 8-over and way outside the cut line. RICKIE FOWLER – He’d just birdied three of his last four holes when it all went wrong. First Fowler hit his tee shot into a tree and double-bogeyed the sixth hole, and then he pulled his tee shot into the water and double-bogeyed the seventh. Two pars to finish and the author of one of the most exciting PLAYERS victories ever in 2015 had shot 71 (+1 total) to miss the cut. QUOTABLES I was between a lot of things, but we’ll leave that discussion now. I think the end result was 8.Just trying to stabilize, because when you’re trying to hold it just with your hands, I mean, obviously they shake a little bit.I’ve got a man cold, and with that comes exaggerative symptoms. SUPERLATIVES Low round: Hmm, let’s see … er, Webb Simpson’s course-record tying 63. His putts-made distance of 142 feet, 8 inches didn’t include hole-outs of 18 feet and 27-1/2 feet from off the green. Longest drive: Patrick Rodgers’ 364-yard drive on the 14th hole. Despite the long drive, he still made bogey en route to a 4-over 76. Longest putt: Emiliano Grillo’s birdie putt from 50 feet, 5 inches on the island-green 17th. Grillo shot a 1-under 71 to finish at 4 under through 36 holes. Hardest hole: The par-4 18th, playing at 453 yards on Friday. It played to a stroke average of 4.266, with just 12 birdies made against 40 bogeys and five others. Easiest hole: The par-5 16th, playing at 515 yards on Friday. It played to a stroke average of 4.490, with nine eagles and 71 birdies against just 14 bogeys and one other. CALL OF THE DAY For play-by-play coverage of Round 3 of THE PLAYERS Championship, listen from 1 p.m. – 7 p.m. ET on PGATOUR.com. SHOT OF THE DAY

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Emergency 9: THE PLAYERS Championship, Round 2Emergency 9: THE PLAYERS Championship, Round 2

Here are nine tidbits from the second round of the THE PLAYERS Championship that gamers can use tomorrow, this weekend or down the road. THE PLAYERS Stadium Course TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, has been the host since 1982 and plays 7,189 yards to a Par-72. PAIN OR GAIN These were the top-10 picked golfers in the PGA TOUR Fantasy One & Done presented by SERVPRO: The cut landed at 1-under-par 143 and will include 80 players in Round 3. After the round the field will be cut again (MDF) to the top 70 and ties. People’s Choice Playing with buddy Sergio Garcia and Jason Day, Henrik Stenson continued his excellent form on TOUR despite a triple-bogey eight on his second hole of the day. He rallied to post a clean card with five bogeys to remain in the hunt for the weekend (-6). The Swede has had two bad holes in his first 36 as he had only one bogey on Thursday. He’s T2 in GIR and T5 in scrambling. Wonderful Webb The second-round spotlight belonged to Webb Simpson and he didn’t have any competition. He stood on No. 17 tee on 11-under for THE ROUND. A birdie-birdie finish would have equaled 59 but sadly his tee ball bounced off the railroad ties and off the back of the green. Insert Pete Dye smiley face here. Simpson made double and parred 18 for 63, tying the course record set last by Colt Knost in 2016. He also tied the 36-hole scoring record (129, -15) set by Jason Day, who also shot 63 (Round 1), in 2016. Simpson gets to claim the biggest 36-hole lead, five shots, in history, all to himself. Brilliant. Fowl Moods Second choice Rickie Fowler had it to five-under on the day and three-under for the tournament before doubling consecutive holes (Nos. 6 and 7) and falling to 1 over, MC. Fowler has followed up his 2015 master class on Sunday with MC in 2016 and T60 last year. His lowest round in the last eight is 70. … Rory McIlroy birdied No. 16 and just needed to par the final two holes to earn a weekend tee time. He rinsed his tee shot on No. 17 and missed a six-foot putt to have a chance on the final hole. His streak of five consecutive weekends at TPC Sawgrass crashes out. Savage. … Francesco Molinari entered the week with second-best scoring average EVER. In his last three visits he posted T6, T7 and T6. Now in eight events, he owns four top-10 finishes and four MC. #AllOrNothing. I got nothing this week. Sad! Charl(es) Charging With only one bogey as his only blemish after 36 holes, South African Charl Schwartzel is keeping up his hot play. He was a last-minute replacement for countryman Branden Grace (#NappyFactor) at the Zurich Classic and finished third with Louis Oosthuizen. He collected T9 cash last week in Charlotte and now sits T2 after Friday. His best finish at TPC Sawgrass is T26 in 2011, the same year he won the Masters. … Charles Howell III also had a clean card on Friday as he backed up his 68 with 67 to sit T5. His best payday in 15 previous tries is T56 so his investors shouldn’t start lighting off any fireworks just yet. Movin’ On Up Jason Day posted a bogey-free 67 to move up from T27 to T8 in Round 2. He pegged 15/18 GIR after only splitting half of the fairways but he’s getting the ball in the hole. He’s seven back. … Bryson DeChambeau circled seven birdies and signed for 67 to climb 28 spots to T11. He’s not even the best of the bunch for maiden voyagers as that honor goes to Xander Schauffele (T8). Streaking Former World No. 1 and former champion Martin Kaymer finally MC in his 10th event. … New dad Branden Grace will cash for the fifth time in five tries. He’s currently T34 and that would be his best finish. … Rory Sabbatini collected T6 on his last visit in 2015. He hasn’t MC in 12 events in 2018 and checks in T17. … Emiliano Grillo is 13-13 on his own ball this season. … It’s seven consecutive weekends at TPC Sawgrass for 2004 champion Adam Scott after 69-68. He grabbed his broomstick putter again this week and reverted to a driver from 2010. Whatever is clever! His best finish this season is T13 at The Honda Classic, another tough Florida course. MC HOF In addition to the heavy hitters listed above, Hideki Matsuyama (79-69), Louis Oosthuizen (78-71), Cameron Smith (76-75), Phil Mickelson (79-73) and Brandt Snedeker (82-72) didn’t sniff the line. Tiger Woods, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas are the marquee names who snuck in on the number. Study Hall Friday’s scoring average was 71.273 versus 72.014 in Round 1. … There were six bogey-free rounds on Thursday and six more on Friday. … Jamie Lovemark (67) and Patrick Reed (68) joined the bogey-free parade in Round 2. … #Area51 Steve Stricker backed up his opening round 67 with 69 in Round 2 and is T8. … Sean O’Hair WD after Round 1.

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Simpson’s incredible putting transformationSimpson’s incredible putting transformation

PONTE VEDRA BEACH, Fla. – It would be fitting if a tip from former THE PLAYERS champion Tim Clark produced the newest member of the club to win at TPC Sawgrass. A year ago Clark approached Webb Simpson on the eve of THE PLAYERS Championship and offered his fellow former anchored putting buddy a tip. Simpson was in the putting wilderness after being forced to switch from his near life-long method of belly-putting thanks to the anchor ban. The former U.S. Open champion had ranked inside the top 53 players for Strokes Gained: Putting from his debut year in 2009 through the 2014 season with a high mark of 15th. But after switching he plummeted to 174th in 2015 and 177th in 2016. He was lost. “Tim asked me how I’ve been putting, and I told him, pretty inconsistent. He asked me had I ever tried the claw grip, and I said no. So I tried it. I liked it,â€� Simpson explained of the encounter a year ago. “So thanks to Tim, I started putting better last year.â€� The combination of a mid-length putter that rests against the forearm – ala Matt Kuchar – and the claw grip has been a game changer. He put it in to place and finished T16 last year. Last season Simpson’s strokes gained ranking improved to 88th. This season he entered this week ranked 10th. This week he’s first – gaining an incredible 9.079 shots on the field so far through two rounds. Round one was the 10th best of his career in the stat. Round two the fifth best. “It turned his whole season around and turned his career around, getting it to where we thought it was going to be. The putter isn’t a problem anymore,â€� long-time caddie and friend Paul Tesori says of the change a year ago. “For us, it’s nothing short of miraculous. We got to a two and a half year stretch where we didn’t know if we ever would see it again. “We’ve had some battles. It’s been stressful.â€� On Friday, Simpson officially made 142-feet, eight inches worth of putts. But this didn’t include an 18-footer he made from the fringe on the 12th hole and a 28-footer he drained from behind the 15th green. “Obviously I’ve been with guys who have shot some incredible rounds, but it was just amazing how many putts he made,â€� playing partner Jhonattan Vegas said. “He hit the ball really well, but he was just making it from everywhere. I was rooting for him to break the course record; he definitely had it. “The putt that shocked me was the putt he made on 15, which would have gone way far by but went in. Right there we knew he had something special at that point, so we were just rooting. We were fans at that point.â€� Adam Scott, another of the players forced to change once the anchor ban came in, tipped his hat to Simpson’s transformation. Scott himself has spent the last few seasons changing between a short and long putter, still searching for something he can reliably trust. “There is some psychological stuff involved,â€� Scott said. “In the two or three years between the making of the decision and the rule coming into effect we were being called cheats and all sorts out there. “Then the not knowing what’s going to happen… how you’ll go. Learning a new technique and feels. Lots of things played into it. “The guy spent thousands of hours in his life working on a particular method and he’s sent back to square one. So all credit to him.â€� As much as anything Simpson himself is happy just to have belief in himself again. In the dark times it was hard not to wonder if he’d ever find a way. “Confidence is so big, and it can change the way you think… Even more so maybe with putting,â€� Simpson said. “Putting there’s read, there’s grain, there’s speed… there’s the stroke, the aimer, and then there’s you. “I had tournaments where I putted well, but I never had stretches of three months, six months, eight months where consistently I was a lot better. “Once that kind of four, five, six months of good putting hit, I started to believe again that I’m a good putter. It had been a long time since I had really felt that and believed it.â€� We believe it to now.

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Win Probability: 2018 THE PLAYERS ChampionshipWin Probability: 2018 THE PLAYERS Championship

At the halfway point of the THE PLAYERS, Webb Simpson has built himself a 5-shot lead after a dazzling 9-under par 63. It could have been even better for Simpson if not for an errant tee shot that found the water on the island green 17th, ultimately leading to a double bogey. Given this unique circumstance of one player finding himself five clear of an otherwise bunched leaderboard, it is difficult to intuitively come up with accurate win probabilities without the use of a statistical model. Here are the top 10 win probabilities according to our model as we head into the weekend: As expected, Webb Simpson is the heavy favorite with a 50 percent chance of becoming THE PLAYERS champion. This is obviously due in large part to the lead he has built, but another important factor is how highly our model rates Simpson, who it estimates to be the 17th strongest player in the field. Moving down we see two big names in Jason Day and Dustin Johnson, who despite being positioned T8 and T11 respectively, each carry sizable win probabilities. This is not surprising given our model estimates them both to be more than 2 shots better per round than an average PGA TOUR player. It was also an exciting day around the cutline. In the end, 80 players finished at 1 under par or better and will advance to play the weekend. This excitement can be characterized nicely through the cut probability evolution of Tiger Woods, who ended up making the cut on the number:   At the time of finishing his round Woods was tied for 64th, but with the course playing relatively easy at the time, he only had a 47 percent chance of making the cut. Luckily for Woods, the course toughened up for the afternoon wave, which at one point boosted his chance of making the cut to 95 percent. Things then got very interesting. Toward the end of play birdies were in abundance for the remaining players on the course, so much so that at one point Woods fell to T72 and outside the cutline. The model wasn’t to be fooled though, as it still gave him a 66 percent probability of making the cut given how difficult the finishing holes were playing. In the end the model estimates were accurate as TPC Sawgrass reminded us all of what may be to come on Sunday, as a host of the TOUR’s best players stumbled down the finishing stretch to move the cutline back to minus 1. NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the THE PLAYERS Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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